Economical viability assessment of a wind farm trading in the spot market

Claudia Cabrera, Virginia Echinope, R. Mendez, A. Osta
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Abstract

The paper analyzes the profitability for a wind farm of 50 MW, which marketed its energy on the Spot market, taking into account the current conditions of evolution of demand and the Uruguayan energy system. For a system with a high component of installed capacity of hydropower origin, the marginal cost is strongly affected by water availability conditions, which is a considerable risk for the wind energy investor. In addition the income may be affected by the entry into service of a second wind farm with similar characteristics, which will result in a decrease in the marginal cost of the system, adversely affecting revenues of the already installed parks which they market their power on the Spot market. Simulations with the software SimSEE, for a term of 20 years, allow one to estimate the generation of a wind farm of these features, as well as the evolution of the marginal cost of the system.
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在现货市场交易的风电场经济可行性评估
本文分析了一个50兆瓦的风电场的盈利能力,该风电场在现货市场上销售其能源,考虑到当前需求演变的条件和乌拉圭的能源系统。对于水电发电装机容量占比较高的系统,边际成本受供水条件的影响较大,这对风能投资者来说是一个相当大的风险。此外,收入可能会受到第二个具有类似特征的风电场投入使用的影响,这将导致系统的边际成本下降,对已经安装的在现货市场上销售电力的公园的收入产生不利影响。用SimSEE软件进行为期20年的模拟,可以估算出具有这些特征的风电场的发电量,以及系统边际成本的演变。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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