Climate Change, Climatic Hazards and National Security of Nepal

Prakash Bikram Rawal
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Abstract

This article examines the impact of climate change on the national security of Nepal by studying secondary data from the Ministry of Home Affairs. The data covers the last five years and focuses on five climate hazards: flood, landslide, windstorm, forest fire, and avalanches. Through an analysis of the human and economic costs and the frequency of occurrence, the study identifies windstorms as an emerging threat to national security. The research highlights that climatic hazards are affecting Nepal's security, and the study particularly investigates their impacts in the past year. The human and economic costs caused by these climatic hazards were assessed based on factors such as: deaths, injuries, missing persons, affected families, destroyed houses, displaced sheds, and estimated monetary losses. The study indicates a fluctuation in the frequency and impacts of some climatic hazards due to climate change, with 2076 BS being the most destructive year. Traditional threats such as floods and landslides persist, while windstorms are increasingly becoming stronger. Additionally, the incidents of forest fires have risen in the last two years. Among the five hazards, avalanches seem to be the least destructive in terms of human and economic costs. The findings underscore the importance of addressing climate change to safeguard Nepal's national security.
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气候变化、气候灾害与尼泊尔国家安全
本文通过研究内政部的二手数据,探讨气候变化对尼泊尔国家安全的影响。这些数据涵盖了过去五年,重点关注五种气候灾害:洪水、滑坡、风暴、森林火灾和雪崩。通过对人员和经济成本以及发生频率的分析,该研究将风暴确定为对国家安全的新威胁。该研究强调,气候灾害正在影响尼泊尔的安全,该研究特别调查了它们在过去一年的影响。这些气候灾害造成的人员和经济损失是根据以下因素进行评估的:死亡、受伤、失踪人员、受影响家庭、房屋被毁、棚屋流离失所以及估计的金钱损失。该研究表明,由于气候变化,一些气候灾害的频率和影响存在波动,其中2076年是破坏性最大的一年。洪水和山体滑坡等传统威胁依然存在,而风暴正变得越来越强。此外,森林火灾事件在过去两年中有所上升。在这五种灾害中,雪崩对人类和经济造成的损失似乎是最小的。调查结果强调了应对气候变化对保护尼泊尔国家安全的重要性。
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