Uses of the Little Ice Age Theory in the Korean Academia of Korean History

S. Kye
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Abstract

With emphasis on the question of why the 1600s and 1700s, well known as the age of chronic natural disasters caused by the Little Ice Age in Korean history, did not witness a decrease in population or a steady decline in the rate of population growth but rather underwent a rapid increase of population, this review article examines the preexisting studies that employed the Little Ice Age theory to explain the socioeconomic crisis in the late Joseon dynasty. In a premodern society, population growth is generally a byproduct of either a long-term increase in agricultural productivity or a steady influx of wealth through international trade. When such an economic growth is prolonged, a sort of population pressure takes place. If a society fails to breakthrough population pressure with either a new economic power or a new land for outmigration, it could stop economic growing or fall into poverty as we can see the case of nineteenth-century Qing China. During the so-called Little Ice Age in Korea, covering from the turn of the 1600s to the mid-1700s, let alone China and Japan, population grew remarkably in spite of chronic natural disaster and great famine, suggesting that the impact of the Little Ice Age on Korean society in a long term view was somewhat exaggerated. In this review article I challenge the current uses of the Little Ice Age theory in Korean academia of history.
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小冰河期理论在韩国历史学界的运用
17世纪和18世纪是韩国历史上众所周知的由小冰河期引起的慢性自然灾害的时代,为什么人口没有减少或人口增长率稳步下降,而是人口快速增长,这篇综述文章审查了先前使用小冰河期理论来解释朝鲜王朝晚期社会经济危机的研究。在前现代社会,人口增长通常是农业生产力长期增长或财富通过国际贸易稳定流入的副产品。当这样的经济增长持续下去时,就会产生一种人口压力。如果一个社会不能通过新的经济力量或新的土地来突破人口压力,它可能会停止经济增长或陷入贫困,就像我们看到的19世纪清朝中国的情况一样。从17世纪初开始到18世纪中期,除了中国和日本,韩国的“小冰河期”期间,尽管长期遭受自然灾害和大饥荒,但人口仍显著增长。这说明,从长远来看,“小冰河期”对韩国社会的影响有些夸大。在这篇评论文章中,我对韩国历史学界目前使用的小冰河期理论提出了挑战。
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