Pakistan – w kierunku triady jądrowej

S. Zarychta
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Abstract

Pakistan’s political history since independence has been marked by periods of political, military, and economic instability. The Kashmir conflict remains a major point of contention between Pakistan and India. Therefore, Pakistan’s main reason for building nuclear weapons was as a deterrent against Indian conventional forces and a desire to gain a leading role in the Islamic world. The assessment of Pakistan’s nuclear potential is very difficult due to limited information and lack of transparency on the part of military circles. While all nuclear-weapon states generally aim to lower their capabilities, Pakistan, on the contrary, is developing its nuclear capabilities and is currently projected to have around 165 nuclear warheads. Pakistan’s nuclear policy is to have a full spectrum of nuclear weapons from tactical nuclear weapons to strategic ballistic missiles. The main task of Pakistan’s nuclear arsenal is deterrence. Pakistan’s nuclear doctrine is intended firstly to deter India from aggression against Pakistan and secondly to prevent India from being victorious in the event of war. The basis of the doctrine of the Pakistani armed forces is the current concept of offensive defense, which assumes conducting a counterattack, the purpose of which will be to transfer a possible armed conflict to the enemy’s territory.
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自独立以来,巴基斯坦的政治历史以政治、军事和经济不稳定时期为特征。克什米尔冲突仍然是巴基斯坦和印度之间争论的一个主要问题。因此,巴基斯坦制造核武器的主要原因是作为对印度常规力量的威慑,并希望在伊斯兰世界获得主导地位。由于信息有限,军事部门缺乏透明度,对巴基斯坦核潜力的评估非常困难。虽然所有核武器国家的目标都是降低自己的能力,但巴基斯坦正相反,它正在发展自己的核能力,目前预计拥有约165枚核弹头。巴基斯坦的核政策是拥有从战术核武器到战略弹道导弹的全系列核武器。巴基斯坦核武库的主要任务是威慑。巴基斯坦的核学说首先是为了阻止印度侵略巴基斯坦,其次是为了防止印度在战争中获胜。巴基斯坦武装部队学说的基础是目前进攻性防御的概念,它假设进行反击,其目的是将可能的武装冲突转移到敌人的领土上。
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