The Crisis in Public Sector Pension Plans: A Blueprint for Reform in New Jersey

Eileen Norcross, Andrew G. Biggs
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引用次数: 10

Abstract

Pension plans operated by state governments on behalf of their employees are underfunded by an estimated $452 billion according to official reports,1 with total liabilities of $2.8 trillion and total assets of $2.3 trillion in 2008. However, many economists argue that even these daunting liabilities are understated. Current public sector accounting methods allow plans to assume they can earn highv investment returns without any risk. Using methods that are required for private sector pensions, which value pension liabilities according to likelihood of payment rather than the return expected on pension assets, total liabilities amount to $5.2 trillion and the unfunded liability rises to $3 trillion. The ability of governments to pay for the retirement benefits promised to public sector workers runs up against the reality of limited resources.
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公共部门养老金计划危机:新泽西州改革蓝图
根据官方报告,州政府代表雇员运营的养老金计划资金不足约4520亿美元,2008年的总负债为2.8万亿美元,总资产为2.3万亿美元。然而,许多经济学家认为,即使是这些令人生畏的债务也被低估了。目前公共部门的会计方法允许计划假设他们可以在没有任何风险的情况下获得高投资回报。使用私营部门养老金所需的方法(根据养老金支付的可能性而不是养老金资产的预期回报来评估养老金负债),总负债达到5.2万亿美元,无资金准备的负债上升到3万亿美元。政府支付承诺给公共部门员工的退休福利的能力,与资源有限的现实发生了冲突。
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