Factors involved in Economic Development and their Impact on State-Building in Malaysia

Abdillahi Nedif Muse, Prof Dr Mohd
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Abstract

The successful history of poverty elimination and impressive economic development in Malaysia for the post-colonial period regarded a worth model for growth in developing world. The question raised in this achievement was; how economic development affected on the state-building in the country? Therefore, the motive of the study is to examine the determinants of economic development on state-building. Autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model employed to test economic factors affecting the state-building. The study covered data spanning from 1970-2017. The long-run co-integration in the model has confirmed, and econometric diagnostic tests are robust. The study findings show that human capital, oil rent, and per capita income, positively and significantly affect state-building in the long-run. In the short-run, human capital and oil revenue effects positively and significant. Population growth, democracy, inflation, and financial development have confirmed a negative and significant impact on state-building. Policy implication has highlighted the importance of human capital development, macroeconomic stability, and population growth in Malaysia's state-building. Demographic transition exerts a considerable negative effect on state-building in the long-run, affecting the economic health and steady-state growth. Financial development inserting a negative impact on state-building to promote development. The study recommended that the economic policymakers and relevant bureaucracies correct the fiscal deficit and ease domestic financial institutions into the credits based on the findings. Malaysia is facing a demographic threat in the long run due to the aging population and low fertility rate; therefore, it have to re-address the population policy.
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马来西亚经济发展所涉及的因素及其对国家建设的影响
马来西亚在后殖民时期消除贫困的成功历史和令人印象深刻的经济发展被视为发展中世界增长的一个有价值的模式。这一成就提出的问题是;经济发展对国家建设有何影响?因此,本研究的动机是考察经济发展对国家建设的决定因素。采用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)模型检验影响国家建设的经济因素。该研究涵盖了1970年至2017年的数据。模型中的长期协整已得到证实,计量经济学诊断检验是稳健的。研究结果表明,人力资本、石油租金和人均收入对国家建设具有长期显著的正向影响。在短期内,人力资本和石油收入的正向影响显著。人口增长、民主、通货膨胀和金融发展已经证实了对国家建设的负面和重大影响。政策含义强调了人力资本发展、宏观经济稳定和人口增长在马来西亚国家建设中的重要性。从长远来看,人口转型对国家建设产生了相当大的负面影响,影响经济健康和稳定增长。金融发展对国家建设促进发展产生负面影响。该研究建议经济政策制定者和相关官僚机构根据研究结果纠正财政赤字,并放宽国内金融机构的信贷。由于人口老龄化和低生育率,马来西亚长期面临人口威胁;因此,它必须重新解决人口政策。
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