Software for data analysis and prediction of bankruptcy of organizations in the fuel and energy complex

Alla V. Vinogradova, A. Lazarev, P. Kharlamov
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Abstract

At the present stage of the global economy development, identifying and predicting unfavourable trends in the organization’s development, including the prediction of bankruptcy, is becoming extremely important. The most accurate prediction can be made using various software applications. The paper describes the software for data analysis and prediction of bankruptcy of organizations in the fuel and energy complex, developed by the authors, its algorithm and modular structure. Its principle of operation is based on predicting the Altman’s Z-Score values in the medium term for the organization of the sector using machine learning, neural networks, and fuzzy models.
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软件的数据分析和预测破产的组织在燃料和能源综合体
在全球经济发展的现阶段,识别和预测组织发展的不利趋势,包括预测破产,变得极其重要。使用各种软件应用程序可以做出最准确的预测。介绍了作者开发的燃料能源综合体企业破产数据分析与预测软件及其算法和模块化结构。其运作原理是基于使用机器学习、神经网络和模糊模型预测行业组织中期的Altman Z-Score值。
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