Agent-based system for hybrid policy analysis on economy and power consumption in China

Xiao Xiao, Zhaoguang Hu, Jianwei Tian, Minjie Xu
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

China has exerted a series of economic policies to cope with domestic and overseas uncertainties, especially the negative shock by financial crisis. Therefore, the primary concern is how these intervention measures affect macroeconomic growth. To address this issue we establish the Monetary and Fiscal Policy Simulation System (MFPSS) to construct microeconomic agents capable of self decision-making and interaction. MFPSS interprets policy effectiveness from top-bottom and bottom-top bidirectional modeling, and exhibits total products results as well as asymmetry among industries. In addition, from the perspective of power industry, the production of electric power sector which is regarded as essential component of national economy is explored.
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基于agent的中国经济与电力消费混合政策分析系统
为应对国内外不确定因素,特别是金融危机带来的负面冲击,中国出台了一系列经济政策。因此,主要关注的是这些干预措施如何影响宏观经济增长。为了解决这一问题,我们建立了货币和财政政策模拟系统(MFPSS)来构建具有自我决策和互动能力的微观经济主体。MFPSS通过自上而下和自下而上的双向建模来解释政策有效性,并展示了总体产品结果以及行业之间的不对称性。此外,从电力工业的角度,对作为国民经济重要组成部分的电力生产进行了探讨。
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