Urban Social Landscape Transitions between 1990 and 2010: Case study of Wuhan, China

Liqin Zhang
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Abstract

Urban social development interacts with physical ecological dynamics. China’s urban social landscape study attracted attentions within recent decades, but the research mainly focused on the first tier cities. This paper aimed to reveal China’s urbanization since the 1980s from the perspectives of social dynamic and second tier cities, through the study of Wuhan one of the largest city in central China. The analysis was based on the population census data in Wuhan in 1990, 2000, and 2010. Variables referred to demography, migration, age composition, marital status, household type, education, employment, and housing status. Factorial analysis was employed to find the dominant urban social dimensions. A principal component analysis was conducted to extract the principal factors while a varimax algorithm was used for rotation. Further, the comprehensive urban social structures were mapped based on the cluster analysis of the selected factors. To conceptualize the urban social structure, dummy variable linear regression models were conducted. The results showed that Wuhan urban social dimensions diversified definitely during the recent decades, which were mainly reflected as increasing concerns of the tertiary industry employment, highly educated population unemployed, elders, incoming migrants, and housing improvement. The predominant urban social structure was conceptualized as “three central towns, two wings, and one axis”. The author concluded that urban social landscape study should be introduced in sustainable urban planning, with the concerns of challenges in an aging society, social equity between local residents and incoming migrants, as well as between rural and urban population, social impacts on physical ecological degradation, and so on.
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1990 - 2010年城市社会景观变迁:以武汉市为例
城市社会发展与自然生态动态相互作用。近几十年来,中国城市社会景观研究备受关注,但研究主要集中在一线城市。本文旨在通过对中部最大城市之一的武汉的研究,从社会动态和二线城市的角度揭示20世纪80年代以来中国的城市化进程。分析基于武汉市1990年、2000年和2010年的人口普查数据。变量包括人口统计、迁移、年龄构成、婚姻状况、家庭类型、教育、就业和住房状况。用因子分析找出占主导地位的城市社会维度。采用主成分分析提取主因子,采用变差法进行旋转。在此基础上,通过聚类分析,绘制了城市综合社会结构。为了对城市社会结构进行概念化,我们建立了虚拟变量线性回归模型。结果表明:近几十年来,武汉市城市社会维度呈现明显的多元化,主要表现为对第三产业就业、高学历人口失业、老年人口、外来移民和住房改善的关注日益增加;主要的城市社会结构被定义为“三个中心城镇,两翼,一轴”。可持续城市规划应引入城市社会景观研究,关注老龄化社会带来的挑战、本地居民与外来人口、城乡人口之间的社会公平、自然生态退化的社会影响等问题。
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