Study on the Influencing Factors of Private Car Ownership in China under the Background of Aging

Lulu Hao, Xuemeng Guo
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

In recent years, with the increasing number of motor vehicles in cities, urban traffic jams, air pollution and other problems have become increasingly prominent. There are a variety of factors affecting road congestion in China, including population, economic factors, urban morphology and policy factors. Among them, the population factor is particularly important, because our country has stepped into the aging society since 1999. In this paper, the factors affecting private car ownership in China are studied, and the aging population in China is taken as the main entry point to find effective ways to control traffic congestion in China. In this paper, it is concluded that aging of population has a significant positive effect on private car ownership in all provinces, however, it is not certain by region. GDP has a significant positive effect on private car ownership in all provinces. The main routes of public transport operation have a significant positive impact on private car ownership in all provinces. Bus routes have a significant positive impact on private car ownership in all provinces. According to the research results, this paper puts forward relevant policy recommendations. Keywords— private car ownership; ageing; traffic congestion
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老龄化背景下中国私家车保有量影响因素研究
近年来,随着城市机动车数量的不断增加,城市交通拥堵、空气污染等问题日益突出。影响中国道路拥堵的因素多种多样,包括人口因素、经济因素、城市形态因素和政策因素。其中,人口因素尤为重要,因为我国自1999年以来已经步入老龄化社会。本文研究了影响中国私家车保有量的因素,并以中国人口老龄化为主要切入点,寻找控制中国交通拥堵的有效途径。本文得出的结论是,人口老龄化对各省私家车保有量都有显著的正向影响,但不同地区的影响并不一定。GDP对各省私家车保有量有显著的正向影响。各省份公共交通主干线运营对私家车保有量有显著的正向影响。公交线路对各省私家车保有量有显著的正向影响。根据研究结果,本文提出了相关政策建议。关键词:私家车保有量;老化;交通拥堵
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