An Empirical Analysis of the Factors Affecting Real Estate Price under the Background of Loose Monetary Policy: Based on the Statistics of Chengdu in the past 15 Years

Boya Zhang
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Abstract

Chengdu, one of the fastest growing cities in China and the world, has seen a steady rise in housing prices, but in the past year it has seen explosive growth, with prices in the main urban areas almost doubling from the end of 2016 to the end of 2018. As a new first-tier city, the fluctuation of housing price in Chengdu will also reflect the change of housing price in various provinces and cities in China to some extent. Based on the price of commercial housing in Chengdu, this paper conducts a corresponding analysis and research. The purpose is to have a more comprehensive and objective understanding of the factors affecting the housing price in Chengdu, and to provide a reference for the factors affecting the housing price in various provinces and cities across the country. In this paper, first of all, by consulting relevant books on the impact of housing prices, reference to the research results at home and abroad, to find out the factors that affect the change in housing prices, and then select the factors that have a universal impact on housing prices, and combined with the current situation of Chengdu for analysis. Finally, this paper USES multiple linear regression to analyze the selected original variables, so as to find out the factors that influence the sharp fluctuation of housing price in Chengdu. The research in this paper can help strengthen people's understanding of the causes of housing price changes in Chengdu, so as to better make the decision to buy a house and help the government set up better policies. Keywords—Chengdu; house price; influence factors; fluctuations
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宽松货币政策背景下房地产价格影响因素的实证分析——基于成都市近15年的统计数据
成都是中国和世界上增长最快的城市之一,房价稳步上涨,但在过去的一年里,它出现了爆炸式增长,从2016年底到2018年底,主要城市地区的房价几乎翻了一番。成都作为新一线城市,房价的波动也会在一定程度上反映出全国各省市房价的变化。本文以成都市商品房价格为基础,进行了相应的分析与研究。目的是更全面、客观地了解成都房价的影响因素,为全国各省市的房价影响因素提供参考。本文首先通过查阅有关房价影响的相关书籍,参考国内外的研究成果,找出影响房价变化的因素,然后选择对房价具有普遍影响的因素,并结合成都市的现状进行分析。最后,运用多元线性回归对选取的原始变量进行分析,找出影响成都房价剧烈波动的因素。本文的研究有助于加强人们对成都房价变化原因的了解,从而更好地做出购房决策,帮助政府制定更好的政策。Keywords-Chengdu;房价;影响因素;波动
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