India: Growth Sans Development

T. Das
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Abstract

The pursuit of economic growth has been the single most important policy goal across the world for the last five decades. The default assumption is that – financial crisis aside – growth will continue indefinitely. Not just for the poorest countries, where a better quality of life is undeniably needed between for the richest nations where the excess of material wealth adds little to happiness and is beginning to threaten the foundations of our well being. The myth of growth has failed us. It has failed the two billion people who still live on less than $2 a day. It has failed, spectacularly, in its own terms to provide economic stability and secure people’s livelihoods. India has come a long way in terms of economic growth. Softer indicators – aspirations, health and literacy – are all registering distinct improvements. Spending power opportunities and splurging propensity have been shooting up. Poverty ratios have gone down, the per capita income is growing, the economy is expanding at a fast pace. Poverty ratios have gone down not the number of poor. Poor still remain vulnerable largely unprotected – socially, economically or legally. The shift to inclusive growth as a policy discourse is of recent vintage. This shift marks a broadening of concerns about inequality. The focus has been on how the excluded group can participate in aggregate growth. This takes policy discussions to the domains of education, health, basic infrastructure, agricultural productivity basic urban services and so on. Without addressing those issues India’s longer term development prospects would be in threat. Structural inequalities in India are not only deep and persistent, they are also intimately linked with institutional structures in the political, social and economic domains – and they are likely to impede the transformations necessary for long term growth.
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印度:没有发展的增长
在过去50年里,追求经济增长一直是全球最重要的政策目标。默认的假设是——不考虑金融危机——增长将无限期地持续下去。不仅是对最贫穷的国家来说,在那里生活质量的提高是不可否认的;对最富裕的国家来说,过剩的物质财富给幸福带来的好处很少,而且正开始威胁到我们幸福的基础。增长的神话已经辜负了我们。它辜负了每天生活费不足2美元的20亿人。它在提供经济稳定和保障人民生计方面的失败令人震惊。印度在经济增长方面取得了长足的进步。较软的指标——抱负、健康和识字率——都有明显改善。消费力机会和挥霍倾向一直在飙升。贫困率下降,人均收入增长,经济快速发展。贫困率下降的不是穷人的数量。穷人仍然很脆弱,在社会、经济或法律上基本上得不到保护。将包容性增长作为一种政策话语是最近才出现的。这种转变标志着人们对不平等的担忧在扩大。焦点一直是被排除在外的群体如何参与总体增长。这使得政策讨论涉及教育、保健、基本基础设施、农业生产力、基本城市服务等领域。如果不解决这些问题,印度的长期发展前景将受到威胁。印度的结构性不平等不仅深刻而持久,而且与政治、社会和经济领域的体制结构密切相关- -它们很可能阻碍长期增长所必需的变革。
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