Predicting Commercial Pilot Training Performance

M. Martinussen, O. C. Lang-Ree, Håvard Mjøen, Bengt Svendsen, Adrian Barone
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Abstract

Abstract. The main purpose of this study was to examine the predictive validity of the system used for ab initio selection of candidates to a bachelor program in aviation. The selection includes paper-and-pencil tests, computer-based tests, and an interview. A total of 188 candidates participated in the validation study. The total test score predicted the results of three exams in aviation theory ( r = .27–.38) and extra flying hours needed (−.22), but not mean university grade. The regression analyses indicated that all predictors (tests and interview ratings) explained 25% of the variance in aviation theory, 19% in extra flying hours needed, and 7% in mean university grade. The overall findings confirmed the predictive validity of selection tests, especially the computer-based tests.
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预测商业飞行员培训绩效
摘要本研究的主要目的是检验用于从头开始选择航空学士学位课程候选人的系统的预测有效性。选择包括纸笔测试、计算机测试和面试。共有188名候选人参加了验证研究。考试总分预测航空理论三门考试成绩(r = 0.27 ~ 0.38)和额外飞行时数(r = - 0.22),但不能预测大学成绩。回归分析表明,所有预测因素(测试和面试评分)解释了25%的航空理论差异,19%的额外飞行小时需求,7%的平均大学成绩。总体结果证实了选择测试的预测有效性,特别是基于计算机的测试。
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