Policy Implications of the Variations in Ghana's Fertility Transition

D. Badasu
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引用次数: 11

Abstract

The results of three consecutive Demographic and Health Surveys (GDHS), carried out in 1986, 1993, 1998, show that Ghana's population has been experiencing a fertility transition. An analysis of the data, however, indicates that there are wide and increasing differentials in both the timing and trends in the process among geographic and socioeconomic subgroups of the population. Current Total Fertility Rate (TFR), for example, varies from around 3 to 7. This paper examines the policy implications of the variations in the fertility transition. The transition is associated mainly with urbanization and education (particularly of mothers). The differentials are therefore explained by increasing economic inequalities among the socioeconomic subgroups of the population and the administrative regions. Policies that seek to remove the disparities in the fertility transition in the country must therefore address this underlying factor. While implementation of reproductive health/family planning programmes will have to be continued, even as the level of unmet need for contraception is still high in the population, socioeconomic development goals that seek to address such population problems must be a first priority and also be at the centre of population programmes in the country. Another policy approach will be the documentation of the details of the process at regional, district and other levels because the national averages obscure the peculiar patterns and trends presents at such levels. The quantitative data so far gathered on the various issues in reproduction in the country will also have to be supplemented by micro studies that adopt qualitative approaches to discover issues that are not captured by quantitative approaches. (Institute of African Studies Research Review: 2003 19(1): 1-14)
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加纳生育率转型变化的政策含义
1986年、1993年和1998年连续进行的三次人口与健康调查的结果表明,加纳的人口正在经历生育率的转变。然而,对数据的分析表明,人口的地理和社会经济亚群体在这一进程的时间和趋势方面存在着广泛和日益扩大的差异。例如,当前总生育率(TFR)在3到7之间变化。本文探讨了生育率变化对政策的影响。这种转变主要与城市化和教育(尤其是母亲的教育)有关。因此,这种差异可以用人口和行政区域的社会经济子群体之间日益增加的经济不平等来解释。因此,旨在消除该国生育率过渡中的差距的政策必须解决这一根本因素。虽然必须继续执行生殖健康/计划生育方案,即使人口中避孕需求未得到满足的程度仍然很高,但设法解决这类人口问题的社会经济发展目标必须是首要优先事项,也是该国人口方案的中心。另一项政策办法将是记录区域、地区和其他各级进程的细节,因为全国平均数掩盖了这些各级所呈现的特殊模式和趋势。到目前为止收集到的关于该国生殖方面各种问题的数量数据也必须由微观研究加以补充,这些研究采用质量方法来发现数量方法没有捕捉到的问题。(非洲研究所研究评论,2003 19(1):1-14)
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