The Relationship Between Policy Rates and Domestic Debt in Ghana

Bright Ackah
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Abstract

The principal purpose of this study is to investigate the relationship between policy rates and domestic debt in Ghana. Utilizing a time series data, the study adopted the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) for result analysis. Over the long run, domestic debt was found to have a negative impact on monetary policy rate, with the reverse observed for the short run. However, both models yielded statistically insignificant results. Nevertheless, the study revealed a statistically significant relationship between inflation and real GDP with the monetary policy rate in the long run, indicating a positive and negative impact, respectively. In the short run, only inflation was found to be statistically significant. The study's findings and analysis were found to be reliable as there was no evidence of serial correlation or heteroskedasticity in the model. In the end, the study was able to address a crucial gap in the literature on public debt by primarily investigating the influence of domestic debt on monetary policy rate in Ghana.
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加纳政策利率与国内债务的关系
本研究的主要目的是探讨加纳政策利率与国内债务之间的关系。利用时间序列数据,采用向量误差修正模型(Vector Error Correction Model, VECM)进行结果分析。从长期来看,国内债务对货币政策利率有负面影响,而短期则相反。然而,两种模型的结果在统计上都不显著。然而,该研究显示,通货膨胀和实际GDP与货币政策利率在长期内存在统计学上显著的关系,分别表明积极和消极的影响。在短期内,只有通货膨胀被发现具有统计学意义。本研究的结果和分析是可靠的,因为模型中没有序列相关或异方差的证据。最后,该研究通过主要调查加纳国内债务对货币政策利率的影响,解决了公共债务文献中的一个关键空白。
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