Sovereign Bond and Stock Market Returns in a Rising Economy

Cordelia Onyinyechi Omodero, Ebieri Jones, Olugbenga Ekundayo, Sylvester Eriabie
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Abstract

Purpose: The aim of this study is to examine the impact of government bonds on Nigeria’s stock market performance. Theoretical framework: This work adopted the model of Khan and Zaman (2012) which used multiple regression method to investigate the link between macroeconomic factors and stock values in Pakistan's Karachi Stock Exchange. Design/methodology/approach: The research period runs from 2005 to 2022, and uses the secondary form of data and the ordinary least squares approach. Other analytical examinations include normalcy, stability, interconnectivity, and autocorrelation testing. Findings: The results show that the Federal Government's unique bond does not considerably and favorably impact stock market performance. The stock outcome also demonstrates that interest rates are extremely unfavorable to stock market returns. Research, Practical & Social implications: The study concludes that the government can apply other techniques to diversify bonds sold in the stock market. It is imperative that the appropriate authorities manage interest rates and other economic elements that impact stock market performance. Originality/value: The study is valuable since it is one of the first to assess the influence of government bonds in boosting stock market performance in an emerging nation. Although the outcome of the study calls for government action to ensure that state bonds are fascinating to investors, it should also endeavour to improve the sustainability of the country's stock market.
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经济增长中的主权债券和股票市场回报
目的:本研究的目的是检验政府债券对尼日利亚股市表现的影响。理论框架:本文采用Khan和Zaman(2012)的模型,采用多元回归方法研究巴基斯坦卡拉奇证券交易所宏观经济因素与股票价值之间的联系。设计/方法/方法:研究时间为2005年至2022年,使用二次数据形式和普通最小二乘法。其他分析性检查包括正常性、稳定性、互连性和自相关测试。研究结果表明,联邦政府的独特债券对股市表现没有显著的积极影响。股市结果也表明,利率对股市回报极为不利。研究、实践&;社会影响:该研究得出结论,政府可以采用其他技术来分散在股市中出售的债券。有关当局必须对影响股市表现的利率和其他经济因素进行管理。原创性/价值:这项研究很有价值,因为它是第一个评估政府债券对新兴国家股市表现的影响的研究之一。尽管研究结果呼吁政府采取行动,确保国债吸引投资者,但它也应努力提高中国股市的可持续性。
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