Hurricanes, fertility, and family structure: a study of early 20th century Jamaica

IF 1 3区 历史学 Q3 FAMILY STUDIES History of the Family Pub Date : 2023-09-19 DOI:10.1080/1081602x.2023.2256507
Robert J R Elliott, Eric A Strobl, Thomas Tveit
{"title":"Hurricanes, fertility, and family structure: a study of early 20th century Jamaica","authors":"Robert J R Elliott, Eric A Strobl, Thomas Tveit","doi":"10.1080/1081602x.2023.2256507","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"This study investigates the impact of hurricanes on fertility and the role of family structure in early 20th century Jamaica. Importantly, this was a time period in which there were no storm warnings or other formal disaster mitigation policies in place, allowing one to arguably identify the causal effect of storms on births without any policy interference. To this end, historical hurricane tracks and an exhaustive register of births are used to create a parish level monthly data set on births and hurricane destruction for the period 1901 to 1929. The regression analysis reveals that hurricanes impact excess births for close to 2 years after the event, with the average damaging storm causing a reduction in births of around 13%. Most of the negative effect is due to lower post-storm fertility rather than a fall in births by women affected while pregnant. There is no evidence that the fall in births was driven by fertile females dying as a result of the hurricane. Similarly, there was no discernible differential impact between single mother and two parent registered births, where the impact on the latter appears to be driven by non-marital conjugal unions.","PeriodicalId":46118,"journal":{"name":"History of the Family","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.0000,"publicationDate":"2023-09-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"History of the Family","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1080/1081602x.2023.2256507","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"历史学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"FAMILY STUDIES","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

Abstract

This study investigates the impact of hurricanes on fertility and the role of family structure in early 20th century Jamaica. Importantly, this was a time period in which there were no storm warnings or other formal disaster mitigation policies in place, allowing one to arguably identify the causal effect of storms on births without any policy interference. To this end, historical hurricane tracks and an exhaustive register of births are used to create a parish level monthly data set on births and hurricane destruction for the period 1901 to 1929. The regression analysis reveals that hurricanes impact excess births for close to 2 years after the event, with the average damaging storm causing a reduction in births of around 13%. Most of the negative effect is due to lower post-storm fertility rather than a fall in births by women affected while pregnant. There is no evidence that the fall in births was driven by fertile females dying as a result of the hurricane. Similarly, there was no discernible differential impact between single mother and two parent registered births, where the impact on the latter appears to be driven by non-marital conjugal unions.
查看原文
分享 分享
微信好友 朋友圈 QQ好友 复制链接
本刊更多论文
飓风、生育和家庭结构:对20世纪初牙买加的研究
本研究调查了20世纪初牙买加飓风对生育率的影响和家庭结构的作用。重要的是,这是一个没有风暴预警或其他正式减灾政策的时期,这使得人们可以在没有任何政策干预的情况下确定风暴对出生的因果影响。为此,我们使用历史上的飓风轨迹和详尽的出生登记簿来创建1901年至1929年期间出生和飓风破坏的教区级月度数据集。回归分析显示,飓风对出生率的影响会持续近2年,平均破坏性风暴导致出生率下降约13%。大多数负面影响是由于风暴后生育率下降,而不是怀孕期间受影响妇女的出生率下降。没有证据表明出生率的下降是由于有生育能力的女性在飓风中死亡造成的。同样,单亲母亲和双亲登记出生之间也没有明显的差别影响,对后者的影响似乎是由非婚姻结合造成的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
求助全文
约1分钟内获得全文 去求助
来源期刊
CiteScore
2.10
自引率
10.00%
发文量
40
期刊介绍: The History of the Family: An International Quarterly makes a significant contribution by publishing works reflecting new developments in scholarship and by charting new directions in the historical study of the family. Further emphasizing the international developments in historical research on the family, the Quarterly encourages articles on comparative research across various cultures and societies in Asia, Africa, Latin America, and the Pacific Rim, in addition to Europe, the United States and Canada, as well as work in the context of global history.
期刊最新文献
Children as pawns on the national Chess board: children in Israel’s 1948 war of Independence Dangerous liaisons, or strategies for family management in eighteenth-century Venice Varieties of egalitarianism: gender ideologies in the late socialism of the German Democratic Republic Hurricanes, fertility, and family structure: a study of early 20th century Jamaica Households and communities: evolution in Homo sapiens
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
已复制链接
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
×
扫码分享
扫码分享
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1