When Militias capture the state: evidence from Lebanon, Iraq, and Sudan

IF 0.9 Q3 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Small Wars and Insurgencies Pub Date : 2023-11-09 DOI:10.1080/09592318.2023.2271244
Federico Manfredi Firmian
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See Cohen, ‘Distant Battles’; Kaldor, New and Old Wars.2. Carey, Mitchell, and Lowe, ‘States, the Security Sector, and the Monopoly of Violence’.3. Aliyev, ‘Pro-Regime Militias and Civil War Duration’.4. Lyons, ‘Post-Conflict Elections and the Process of Demilitarizing Politics’; Alden, Thakur, Arnold, Militias and the Challenges of Post-Conflict Peace; Matanock and Staniland, ‘How and Why Armed Groups Participate in Elections’; Shaw and Aliyev, ‘The Frontlines Have Shifted’.5. Reno, Warfare in independent Africa; Debos, Living by the Gun in Chad; Stearns, The War that Doesn’t Say Its Name.6. Cohen and Nordas, ‘Do States Delegate Shameful Violence to Militias?’; Staniland, ‘Militias, Ideology, and the State’; Staniland, ‘Armed Politics and the Study of Intrastate Conflict’; Carey, Colaresi, and Mitchell, ‘Governments, Informal Links to Militias, and Accountability’; Aliyev, “When and How Do Militias Disband?7. Staniland, ‘Militias, Ideology, and the State’.8. Ahram, Proxy Warriors.9. Reno, Warfare in independent Africa10. Aliyev, ‘Strong Militias, Weak States and Armed Violence’.11. Lijphart, ‘The Comparable Cases Strategy in Comparative Research’; Collier and Mahoney, ‘Insights and Pitfalls’; Seawright and Gerring, ‘Case selection techniques in case study research’.12. Jentzsch, Kalyvas, and Schubiger, ‘Militias in Civil Wars’.13. Ahram, Proxy Warriors; Carey, Mitchell, and Lowe, ‘States, the Security Sector, and the Monopoly of Violence’.14. Weber, Politik als Beruf.15. Hellman and Kaufmann, ‘Seize the State, Seize the Day’.16. Faccio, ‘Politically Connected Firms’; Martin and Solomon, ‘Understanding the Phenomenon of “State Capture” in South Africa’; Chipkin and Swilling, Shadow State.17. Meirotti and Masterson, State Capture in Africa.18. Hertel-Fernandez, State Capture.19. Al-Idrissi and Lacher, ‘Capital of Militias’; Smith, Malik, and Knights, ‘Team of Legal Gladiators?’; Wimmen, ‘Lebanon’s Vicious Cycles’.20. Gingeras, ‘Last Rites for a “Pure Bandit”’21. Hussein, Frontline Pakistan.22. Interview code: MSC2021–02 (political analyst), 15 November 2021, Baghdad.23. e.g., Chambers, ‘Democratization Interrupted’.24. Paxton, The Anatomy of Fascism.25. Briscoe, ‘The Proliferation of the Parallel State’; Lupo, History of the Mafia.26. Manfredi, ‘Rethinking U.S. Policy in Afghanistan’.27. Interview code: MSC2019–12 (Hezbollah cadre), 6 August 6 2019, Nabatieh.28. Interview code: MSC2019–03 (Lebanese Armed Forces official), 24 July 2019, Beirut.29. Interview code: MSC2019–07 (investigative journalist), 1 August 2019, Beirut.30. Tilly, From Mobilization to Revolution; McAdam, The Political Process and the Civil Rights Movement; McAdam, McCarthy, and Zald, Comparative Perspectives on Social Movements.31. Shaw, ‘Beyond Necessity’; Terpstra, ‘Opportunity Structures, Rebel Governance, and Disputed Leadership’.32. Khatib, ‘How Hezbollah Holds Sway Over the Lebanese State’; Interview code: Interview code: MSC2019–12 (Hezbollah cadre), 6 August 2019, Nabatieh; Interview code: MSC2019–03 (Lebanese Armed Forces official), 24 July 2019, Beirut.33. Jaber, Hezbollah; Haddad, ‘The Origins of Popular Support for Lebanon’s Hezbollah’; El Husseini, ‘Hezbollah and the Axis of Refusal’; Norton, Hezbollah.34. Interview code: MSC2019–06 (academic), 29 July 2019, Beirut.35. Interview code: MSC2019–03 (Lebanese Armed Forces official), 24 July 2019, Beirut.36. Interview code: MSC2019–17 (Hezbollah cadre), August 8 2019, Beirut.37. Interview code: MSC2019–05 (Internal Security Forces official), July 29 2019, Beirut.38. Interview code: MSC2019–01 (policy analyst), 22 July 2019, Beirut.39. Interview code: MSC2019–10 (Hezbollah cadre), August 6 2019, Nabatieh.40. Levitt, ‘Hezbollah Finances’. Interview code: MSC2019–07 (investigative journalist), August 1 2019, Beirut.41. Interview code: MSC2019–16 (legal expert), 8 August 8 2019, Beirut.42. Interview code: MSC2020–02 (political analyst), 20 July 20 2020, Beirut.43. Interview code: MSC2019–15 (legal expert), 7 August 2019, Nabatieh.44. Interview code: MSC2020–03 (legal expert), July 21 2020, Beirut.45. Khatib, ‘How Hezbollah Holds Sway Over the Lebanese State’, p. 20.46. UNICEF, ‘Living on the Edge in Lebanon’.47. Interview code: MSC2020–06 (academic), 22 July 2020, Beirut.48. Interview code: MSC2020–10 (political analyst), July 27 2020, Beirut.49. Interview code: MSC2020–14 (civil society activist), November 30 2020, Beirut.50. Interview code: MSC2019–16 (legal expert), 8 August 8 2019, Beirut.51. Interview code: MSC2021–08 (investigative journalist), 18 November 2021, Baghdad.52. Interview code: MSC2021–08 (investigative journalist), 18 November 2021, Baghdad.53. Williams, ‘Organized Crime and Corruption in Iraq’; MSC2021–17 (legal expert), 25 November 2021, Baghdad.54. Interview code: MSC2021–07 (Iraqi Police official), 17 November 2021, Baghdad.55. Interview code: MSC2021–01 (academic), 14 November 2021, Baghdad. And Interview code: MSC2021–16 (political analyst), 25 November 2021, Baghdad.56. Interview code: MSC2021–18 (academic), 29 November 2021, Baghdad.57. Smith and Knights, ‘Remaking Iraq’.58. Interview code: MSC2021–17 (legal expert), 25 November 2021, Baghdad.59. Interview code: MSC2021–01 (academic), 14 November 2021, Baghdad.60. Interview code: MSC2021–11 (academic), 20 November 2021, Basra.61. Interview code: MSC2021–05 (political analyst), 16 November 2021, Baghdad; Interview code: MSC2021–07 (Iraqi Police official), 17 November 2021, Baghdad.62. Interview code: MSC2021–22 (political analyst), 2 December 2021, Khartoum (online interview).63. Interview code: MSC2021–29 (investigative journalist), 13 December 2021, Khartoum (online interview).64. Manfredi Firmian and Mirghani, ‘Can Sudan’s Democratic Transition Be Salvaged?’.65. Interview code: MSC2021–29 (investigative journalist), 13 December 2021, Khartoum (online interview).66. Interview code: MSC2021–21 (legal expert), 1 December 2021, Khartoum (online interview).67. Interview code: MSC2021–31 (RSF cadre), 14 December 2021, Khartoum (online interview). Interview code: MSC2022–3 (academic), 11 January 2022, Omdurman (online interview).68. Interview code: MSC2022–2 (NGO official), 10 January 2022, Khartoum (online interview).69. Interview code: MSC2021–28 (political analyst), 9 December 2021, Khartoum (online interview).70. International Crisis Group, ‘Reversing Sudan’s Dangerous Coup’.71. Ibid.72. Interview code: MSC2022–4 (political analyst), 12 January 2022, Khartoum (online interview).73. Interview code: MSC2022–8 (academic), 19 September 2022, Khartoum (online interview).Additional informationNotes on contributorsFederico Manfredi FirmianFederico Manfredi Firmian is a lecturer in political science at Sciences Po Paris and an Associate Research Fellow at the Istituto per gli Studi di Politica Internazionale (ISPI). He holds a Ph.D. in Political Geography from the Sorbonne and a Master’s in Public Policy from Harvard. His research focuses on civil war and armed conflict in the greater Middle East region. 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引用次数: 0

Abstract

ABSTRACTStudies on militias tend to focus on state policies, such as government collusion with militias during counterinsurgencies or post-conflict demobilization programs. This article examines militia strategies vis-à-vis the state, focusing on the case of militias engaged in ‘state capture’ – i.e. the covert and gradual penetration of state institutions aimed to shape public policy. The article provides an overview of key concepts and definitions, proposes a theoretical framework of state capture, and presents three fieldwork-based case studies: Hezbollah in Lebanon, Shia militias in Iraq, and the Rapid Support Forces in Sudan.KEYWORDS: Militiasconflictcivil warelectionsinstitutionsstate capture Disclosure statementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).Notes1. See Cohen, ‘Distant Battles’; Kaldor, New and Old Wars.2. Carey, Mitchell, and Lowe, ‘States, the Security Sector, and the Monopoly of Violence’.3. Aliyev, ‘Pro-Regime Militias and Civil War Duration’.4. Lyons, ‘Post-Conflict Elections and the Process of Demilitarizing Politics’; Alden, Thakur, Arnold, Militias and the Challenges of Post-Conflict Peace; Matanock and Staniland, ‘How and Why Armed Groups Participate in Elections’; Shaw and Aliyev, ‘The Frontlines Have Shifted’.5. Reno, Warfare in independent Africa; Debos, Living by the Gun in Chad; Stearns, The War that Doesn’t Say Its Name.6. Cohen and Nordas, ‘Do States Delegate Shameful Violence to Militias?’; Staniland, ‘Militias, Ideology, and the State’; Staniland, ‘Armed Politics and the Study of Intrastate Conflict’; Carey, Colaresi, and Mitchell, ‘Governments, Informal Links to Militias, and Accountability’; Aliyev, “When and How Do Militias Disband?7. Staniland, ‘Militias, Ideology, and the State’.8. Ahram, Proxy Warriors.9. Reno, Warfare in independent Africa10. Aliyev, ‘Strong Militias, Weak States and Armed Violence’.11. Lijphart, ‘The Comparable Cases Strategy in Comparative Research’; Collier and Mahoney, ‘Insights and Pitfalls’; Seawright and Gerring, ‘Case selection techniques in case study research’.12. Jentzsch, Kalyvas, and Schubiger, ‘Militias in Civil Wars’.13. Ahram, Proxy Warriors; Carey, Mitchell, and Lowe, ‘States, the Security Sector, and the Monopoly of Violence’.14. Weber, Politik als Beruf.15. Hellman and Kaufmann, ‘Seize the State, Seize the Day’.16. Faccio, ‘Politically Connected Firms’; Martin and Solomon, ‘Understanding the Phenomenon of “State Capture” in South Africa’; Chipkin and Swilling, Shadow State.17. Meirotti and Masterson, State Capture in Africa.18. Hertel-Fernandez, State Capture.19. Al-Idrissi and Lacher, ‘Capital of Militias’; Smith, Malik, and Knights, ‘Team of Legal Gladiators?’; Wimmen, ‘Lebanon’s Vicious Cycles’.20. Gingeras, ‘Last Rites for a “Pure Bandit”’21. Hussein, Frontline Pakistan.22. Interview code: MSC2021–02 (political analyst), 15 November 2021, Baghdad.23. e.g., Chambers, ‘Democratization Interrupted’.24. Paxton, The Anatomy of Fascism.25. Briscoe, ‘The Proliferation of the Parallel State’; Lupo, History of the Mafia.26. Manfredi, ‘Rethinking U.S. Policy in Afghanistan’.27. Interview code: MSC2019–12 (Hezbollah cadre), 6 August 6 2019, Nabatieh.28. Interview code: MSC2019–03 (Lebanese Armed Forces official), 24 July 2019, Beirut.29. Interview code: MSC2019–07 (investigative journalist), 1 August 2019, Beirut.30. Tilly, From Mobilization to Revolution; McAdam, The Political Process and the Civil Rights Movement; McAdam, McCarthy, and Zald, Comparative Perspectives on Social Movements.31. Shaw, ‘Beyond Necessity’; Terpstra, ‘Opportunity Structures, Rebel Governance, and Disputed Leadership’.32. Khatib, ‘How Hezbollah Holds Sway Over the Lebanese State’; Interview code: Interview code: MSC2019–12 (Hezbollah cadre), 6 August 2019, Nabatieh; Interview code: MSC2019–03 (Lebanese Armed Forces official), 24 July 2019, Beirut.33. Jaber, Hezbollah; Haddad, ‘The Origins of Popular Support for Lebanon’s Hezbollah’; El Husseini, ‘Hezbollah and the Axis of Refusal’; Norton, Hezbollah.34. Interview code: MSC2019–06 (academic), 29 July 2019, Beirut.35. Interview code: MSC2019–03 (Lebanese Armed Forces official), 24 July 2019, Beirut.36. Interview code: MSC2019–17 (Hezbollah cadre), August 8 2019, Beirut.37. Interview code: MSC2019–05 (Internal Security Forces official), July 29 2019, Beirut.38. Interview code: MSC2019–01 (policy analyst), 22 July 2019, Beirut.39. Interview code: MSC2019–10 (Hezbollah cadre), August 6 2019, Nabatieh.40. Levitt, ‘Hezbollah Finances’. Interview code: MSC2019–07 (investigative journalist), August 1 2019, Beirut.41. Interview code: MSC2019–16 (legal expert), 8 August 8 2019, Beirut.42. Interview code: MSC2020–02 (political analyst), 20 July 20 2020, Beirut.43. Interview code: MSC2019–15 (legal expert), 7 August 2019, Nabatieh.44. Interview code: MSC2020–03 (legal expert), July 21 2020, Beirut.45. Khatib, ‘How Hezbollah Holds Sway Over the Lebanese State’, p. 20.46. UNICEF, ‘Living on the Edge in Lebanon’.47. Interview code: MSC2020–06 (academic), 22 July 2020, Beirut.48. Interview code: MSC2020–10 (political analyst), July 27 2020, Beirut.49. Interview code: MSC2020–14 (civil society activist), November 30 2020, Beirut.50. Interview code: MSC2019–16 (legal expert), 8 August 8 2019, Beirut.51. Interview code: MSC2021–08 (investigative journalist), 18 November 2021, Baghdad.52. Interview code: MSC2021–08 (investigative journalist), 18 November 2021, Baghdad.53. Williams, ‘Organized Crime and Corruption in Iraq’; MSC2021–17 (legal expert), 25 November 2021, Baghdad.54. Interview code: MSC2021–07 (Iraqi Police official), 17 November 2021, Baghdad.55. Interview code: MSC2021–01 (academic), 14 November 2021, Baghdad. And Interview code: MSC2021–16 (political analyst), 25 November 2021, Baghdad.56. Interview code: MSC2021–18 (academic), 29 November 2021, Baghdad.57. Smith and Knights, ‘Remaking Iraq’.58. Interview code: MSC2021–17 (legal expert), 25 November 2021, Baghdad.59. Interview code: MSC2021–01 (academic), 14 November 2021, Baghdad.60. Interview code: MSC2021–11 (academic), 20 November 2021, Basra.61. Interview code: MSC2021–05 (political analyst), 16 November 2021, Baghdad; Interview code: MSC2021–07 (Iraqi Police official), 17 November 2021, Baghdad.62. Interview code: MSC2021–22 (political analyst), 2 December 2021, Khartoum (online interview).63. Interview code: MSC2021–29 (investigative journalist), 13 December 2021, Khartoum (online interview).64. Manfredi Firmian and Mirghani, ‘Can Sudan’s Democratic Transition Be Salvaged?’.65. Interview code: MSC2021–29 (investigative journalist), 13 December 2021, Khartoum (online interview).66. Interview code: MSC2021–21 (legal expert), 1 December 2021, Khartoum (online interview).67. Interview code: MSC2021–31 (RSF cadre), 14 December 2021, Khartoum (online interview). Interview code: MSC2022–3 (academic), 11 January 2022, Omdurman (online interview).68. Interview code: MSC2022–2 (NGO official), 10 January 2022, Khartoum (online interview).69. Interview code: MSC2021–28 (political analyst), 9 December 2021, Khartoum (online interview).70. International Crisis Group, ‘Reversing Sudan’s Dangerous Coup’.71. Ibid.72. Interview code: MSC2022–4 (political analyst), 12 January 2022, Khartoum (online interview).73. Interview code: MSC2022–8 (academic), 19 September 2022, Khartoum (online interview).Additional informationNotes on contributorsFederico Manfredi FirmianFederico Manfredi Firmian is a lecturer in political science at Sciences Po Paris and an Associate Research Fellow at the Istituto per gli Studi di Politica Internazionale (ISPI). He holds a Ph.D. in Political Geography from the Sorbonne and a Master’s in Public Policy from Harvard. His research focuses on civil war and armed conflict in the greater Middle East region. He has published articles in Survival, Middle East Policy, Asian Affairs, World Policy Journal, the Modern War Institute at West Point, and ISPI.
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联合国儿童基金会,《生活在黎巴嫩的边缘》,47页。采访代码:MSC2020-06(学术),2020年7月22日,贝鲁特。采访代码:MSC2020-10(政治分析师),2020年7月27日,贝鲁特。采访代码:MSC2020-14(民间社会活动家),2020年11月30日,贝鲁特。访谈代码:MSC2019-16(法律专家),2019年8月8日,贝鲁特。采访代码:MSC2021-08(调查记者),2021年11月18日,巴格达。采访代码:MSC2021-08(调查记者),2021年11月18日,巴格达。威廉姆斯,《伊拉克的有组织犯罪和腐败》;MSC2021-17(法律专家),2021年11月25日,巴格达。采访代码:MSC2021-07(伊拉克警察),2021年11月17日,巴格达。采访代码:MSC2021-01(学术),2021年11月14日,巴格达。采访代码:MSC2021-16(政治分析师),2021年11月25日,巴格达。面试代码:MSC2021-18(学术),2021年11月29日,巴格达。史密斯和骑士,《重塑伊拉克》,58。访谈代码:MSC2021-17(法律专家),2021年11月25日,巴格达,59。面试代码:MSC2021-01(学术),2021年11月14日,巴格达。采访代码:MSC2021-11(学术),2021年11月20日,Basra.61。采访代码:MSC2021-05(政治分析师),2021年11月16日,巴格达;采访代码:MSC2021-07(伊拉克警察),2021年11月17日,巴格达。访谈代码:MSC2021-22(政治分析师),2021年12月2日,喀土穆(在线访谈).63。采访代码:MSC2021-29(调查记者),2021年12月13日,喀土穆(在线采访)。Manfredi Firmian and Mirghani, <苏丹的民主转型可以挽救吗? >,65。采访代码:MSC2021-29(调查记者),2021年12月13日,喀土穆(在线采访)。67.访谈代码:MSC2021-21(法律专家),2021年12月1日,喀土穆(在线访谈)。采访代码:MSC2021-31(无国界记者干部),2021年12月14日,喀土穆(在线采访)。面试代码:MSC2022-3(学术),2022年1月11日,Omdurman(在线面试).68。采访代码:MSC2022-2(非政府组织官员),2022年1月10日,喀土穆(在线采访)。69。采访代码:MSC2021-28(政治分析师),2021年12月9日,喀土穆(在线采访)。国际危机组织,《扭转苏丹的危险政变》,71。Ibid.72。采访代码:MSC2022-4(政治分析师),2022年1月12日,喀土穆(在线采访)。73。采访代码:MSC2022-8(学术),2022年9月19日,喀土穆(在线采访)。作者简介federico Manfredi Firmian是巴黎政治学院政治学讲师,也是国际政治研究所(ISPI)副研究员。他拥有索邦大学政治地理学博士学位和哈佛大学公共政策硕士学位。他的研究重点是大中东地区的内战和武装冲突。他曾在《生存》、《中东政策》、《亚洲事务》、《世界政策杂志》、《西点现代战争研究所》和《ISPI》上发表文章。
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Small Wars and Insurgencies
Small Wars and Insurgencies INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS-
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