Corporate Governance Reforms and Analyst Forecasts: International Evidence

IF 2.5 4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Abacus-A Journal of Accounting Finance and Business Studies Pub Date : 2023-09-20 DOI:10.1111/abac.12305
Simeng Liu, Kun Tracy Wang, Yue Wu
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Abstract

In this study, we examine the effect of worldwide corporate governance reforms on analyst forecasts using data on firms from 41 countries that have implemented such reforms. Employing a difference‐in‐differences design, we find robust evidence of a significant positive effect of these reforms, which mainly promote the independence of the audit committee and auditors, on analyst forecast accuracy. We also find significant improvements in post‐reform corporate governance structure and the quantity and quality of corporate disclosure, which validates the predicted economic mechanism of the impact of these reforms. Moreover, the reforms are effective in reducing analyst forecast bias and dispersion, suggesting an overall improvement in analyst forecast quality after reform implementation. Furthermore, we find a moderating effect of analyst general experience on the relationship of interest, which is consistent with the conjecture that improved corporate disclosures following reforms could be more beneficial for analysts with less experience. Overall, our findings shed new insights into how country‐level corporate governance reforms worldwide shape firms’ information environment.
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公司治理改革与分析师预测:国际证据
在本研究中,我们使用来自41个实施公司治理改革的国家的公司数据,检验了全球公司治理改革对分析师预测的影响。采用差异中的差异设计,我们发现有力的证据表明,这些改革对分析师预测的准确性产生了显著的积极影响,主要是促进了审计委员会和审计师的独立性。我们还发现,改革后的公司治理结构和公司信息披露的数量和质量都有显著改善,这验证了这些改革影响的预测经济机制。此外,改革有效地减少了分析师预测的偏差和分散性,表明改革实施后分析师预测质量全面提高。此外,我们发现分析师一般经验对利益关系有调节作用,这与改革后改善公司披露可能对经验较少的分析师更有利的猜想是一致的。总体而言,我们的研究结果为全球国家层面的公司治理改革如何塑造公司信息环境提供了新的见解。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.30
自引率
4.80%
发文量
25
期刊介绍: Since 1965 Abacus has consistently provided a vehicle for the expression of independent and critical thought on matters of current academic and professional interest in accounting, finance and business. The journal reports current research; critically evaluates current developments in theory and practice; analyses the effects of the regulatory framework of accounting, finance and business; and explores alternatives to, and explanations of, past and current practices.
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