The Moderating Role of Governance in the Globalisation-Life Expectancy Nexus: Implications for Socioeconomic Development

T. Osinubi, F. Ajide, Fisayo Fagbemi
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Abstract

Abstract Research Purpose: One of the most recent global aims is to increase life expectancy since healthy people are seen as human capital that may boost the economy. The study investigates the role of governance in the globalisation-life expectancy nexus using 39 African countries between 1996 and 2019. Design/Methodology/Approach: The study uses a Panel-Spatial Correlation Consistent augmented with the Least Square Dummy Variables (PSCC-LSDV) approach. The study uses a dynamic two-step system, the Generalised Method of Moments (GMM), as a robust model to solve the endogeneity problem. Findings The results from the PSCC-LSDV approach reveal that globalisation increases life expectancy in the selected African countries.The approach is more efficient since it can be used with cross-sectional dependent variables when other techniques like fixed and random effects methods may be ineffective. Likewise, the result from the GMM estimator is consistent with the PSCC-LSDV approach. The effect of globalisation on the life expectancy nexus without the inclusion of governance is positive. Meanwhile, the moderating (interactive) effect of governance on the relationship between globalisation and life expectancy is negative, indicating that globalisation and governance are substitutes for each other. This means that globalisation positively influences life expectancy, but the governance conditions in Africa weaken this positive effect. Originality/ Value/ Practical Implications Previous studies have shown that globalisation can have a negative, a positive or an insignificant effect on life expectancy in different countries. This discrepancy may arise from the use of different methods, different variables being measured, or different countries. None of these studies, to our knowledge, look at the moderating effect of governance on the globalisation-life expectancy nexus. Furthermore, unlike this study, most studies that look into the role of governance in the relationship between globalisation and life expectancy do not employ an aggregate index. The moderating role of governance from the two approaches confirms that governance interacts with globalisation to weaken the positive impact of globalisation on life expectancy. Put differently, the existence of poor governance in the African region drains the positive effect of globalisation on life expectancy in Africa. However, we expect life expectancy in African countries to improve in the face of good governance.
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治理在全球化与预期寿命关系中的调节作用:对社会经济发展的影响
摘要 研究目的:最近的全球目标之一是提高预期寿命,因为健康的人被视为可以促进经济发展的人力资本。本研究以 1996 年至 2019 年间 39 个非洲国家为研究对象,探讨治理在全球化-预期寿命关系中的作用。设计/方法/途径:本研究采用面板空间相关性一致增强最小平方虚拟变量(PSCC-LSDV)方法。研究采用动态两步法系统,即广义矩法(GMM),作为解决内生性问题的稳健模型。研究结果 PSCC-LSDV 方法的结果显示,全球化提高了选定非洲国家的预期寿命。该方法更为有效,因为它可以用于横截面因变量,而其他技术如固定效应和随机效应方法可能无效。同样,GMM 估计的结果与 PSCC-LSDV 方法一致。在不考虑治理因素的情况下,全球化对预期寿命关系的影响是正向的。同时,治理对全球化与预期寿命之间关系的调节(交互)效应为负,表明全球化与治理是相互替代的。这说明全球化对预期寿命有积极影响,但非洲的治理条件削弱了这种积极影响。原创性/价值/实际意义 以往的研究表明,全球化对不同国家的预期寿命可能产生负面、正面或不显著的影响。造成这种差异的原因可能是使用的方法不同、测量的变量不同或国家不同。据我们所知,这些研究都没有探讨治理对全球化-预期寿命关系的调节作用。此外,与本研究不同的是,大多数探讨治理在全球化与预期寿命关系中的作用的研究都没有采用综合指数。这两种方法对治理的调节作用证实,治理与全球化相互作用,削弱了全球化对预期寿命的积极影响。换句话说,非洲地区治理不善会削弱全球化对非洲预期寿命的积极影响。然而,我们预计非洲国家的预期寿命会在善治的情况下得到改善。
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