Budgetary Policy and Structural Transformation of the Russian Economy

I. S. Bukina
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Abstract

Recently the Russian economy in addition to global trends has been affected by structural shocks. Fiscal instruments make it possible to respond both to temporary fluctuations in business activity and to support economy restructuring. The existing Russian fiscal reserves made it possible to cope with the first consequences of the sanctions. Estimated effectiveness of the budget impulse in 2022 was twice as high as in 2020. However, the risks of fiscal policy are increasing due to an unforeseen increase in spending, the need to increase the tax burden on the economy and the build-up of public debt. The paper proposes measures to redistribute the tax burden between the export-oriented sector and domestic producers, approaches to the use of digital financial assets in taxation, measures to develop the debt market and other areas of supporting the structural transformation of the Russian economy.
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预算政策与俄罗斯经济结构转型
最近,俄罗斯经济除了受到全球趋势的影响外,还受到结构性冲击的影响。财政手段既可以应对商业活动的暂时波动,也可以支持经济结构调整。俄罗斯现有的财政储备可以应对制裁带来的最初后果。据估计,2022 年预算刺激的有效性是 2020 年的两倍。然而,由于支出的意外增加、增加经济税收负担的需要以及公共债务的积累,财政政策的风险正在增加。本文提出了在出口导向型部门和国内生产商之间重新分配税收负担的措施、在税收中使用数字金融资产的方法、发展债务市场的措施以及支持俄罗斯经济结构转型的其他领域。
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