Characteristics of the Basic Socio-Economic Factors of the Development of Small Towns in Russia

L. V. Dmitrieva
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Abstract

Currently, small towns in Russia are going through a difficult period due to changes in the economic situation, demographic trends and financial constraints. These factors have a significant impact on the lives of citizens and require in-depth study and analysis. The purpose of the study is to identify the general features of small forms of settlement as part of the regional socio-economic system for the further development of proposals for the formation of specific measures for the socio-economic development of small towns. The research was conducted on a sample of data from 82 regions of Russia for 2018–2022 according to 11 statistical hypotheses. The work used modern methods of statistical analysis, including testing the normality of distribution (ShapiroWilk statistics), equality of variances (Livigne criterion) and the method of statistical testing of hypotheses based on the Mann-Whitney test. Calculations were performed in the Python software environment using the NumPy and Pandas libraries for data preprocessing and SciPy and XlsxWriter for statistical analysis and export results. The following socio-economic indicators are considered: average per capita cash income of the population, gross regional product and investment in fixed capital per capita, average turnover of organizations and the share of the population with cash income below the subsistence level. It is shown that, within the framework of the existing administrative structure of regional governance, regions with different levels of urbanization have statistically significant differences in these indicators. At the same time, no such differences were found in relation to indicators such as expenditures and revenues of consolidated budgets per person, the total area of residential premises per inhabitant on average, the fertility rate, the population maturity index and the dynamics of population change over 10 years (2012-2022 inclusive).
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俄罗斯小城镇发展的基本社会经济因素的特点
目前,由于经济形势的变化、人口发展趋势和财政困难,俄罗斯的小城镇正在经历一个困难时期。这些因素对居民生活产生了重大影响,需要进行深入研究和分析。本研究的目的是确定作为地区社会经济体系一部分的小型居住形式的一般特征,以便进一步制定建议,形成促进小城镇社会经济发展的具体措施。研究根据 11 项统计假设,对 2018-2022 年俄罗斯 82 个地区的数据样本进行了分析。工作中使用了现代统计分析方法,包括检验分布的正态性(ShapiroWilk 统计法)、方差齐性(Livigne 标准)和基于 Mann-Whitney 检验的假设统计检验方法。计算在 Python 软件环境中进行,使用 NumPy 和 Pandas 库进行数据预处理,使用 SciPy 和 XlsxWriter 进行统计分析并导出结果。研究考虑了以下社会经济指标:人口人均现金收入、地区生产总值和人均固定资本投资、组织平均营业额以及现金收入低于最低生活水平的人口比例。结果表明,在现有的地区治理行政结构框架内,不同城市化水平的地区在这些指标上有显著的统计差异。同时,在人均综合预算支出和收入、平均每个居民的住宅总面积、生育率、人口成熟指数和 10 年(2012-2022 年,含 2012 年)人口变化动态等指标方面,没有发现此类差异。
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