Analysis of Rainfall Characteristics in Kaduna State, Nigeria from 1999 – 2018

S. Yusuf, A. S. Maiwada, J. K. Aremu
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Abstract

In the present time of changing climate, rainfall provides a vital information for effective agricultural and water resource planning and management. This study aimed at analyzing the rainfall characteristics in Kaduna state, Nigeria. Rainfall data of 20 years from 1999-2018 were obtained from the National Water Resource Institute Kaduna for the study. Walter’s 1967 formula was used to calculate the rainfall Onset and Cessation dates while the Seasonality Index was calculated using the Walsh and Lawler’s 1981 method. Results obtained revealed a decrease in trend for rainfall Onset and Cessation, Annual Rainfall amounts and also a negative trend in the Seasonality Index of the study area. While the Length of rainy season shows a positive trend for the reference period. The study suggests in-depth research in areas related to crop-climate relationship, so that variety of crops with optimum yield potentials will be cultivated in the area to feed the increasing population. This will help to avoid the risks of hunger and related food insecurity in the study area.
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尼日利亚卡杜纳州 1999 - 2018 年降雨特征分析
在气候不断变化的今天,降雨为有效的农业和水资源规划与管理提供了重要信息。本研究旨在分析尼日利亚卡杜纳州的降雨特征。研究从卡杜纳国家水资源研究所获得了 1999-2018 年 20 年的降雨量数据。采用 Walter's 1967 公式计算降雨开始和停止日期,同时采用 Walsh 和 Lawler's 1981 方法计算季节性指数。结果显示,研究地区的降雨开始和停止日期、年降雨量呈下降趋势,季节指数也呈负值趋势。而雨季长度在参照期内呈正趋势。研究建议对作物与气候关系的相关领域进行深入研究,以便在该地区种植具有最佳产量潜力的各种作物,养活不断增加的人口。这将有助于避免研究地区的饥饿风险和相关的粮食不安全问题。
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