Results of Budget and Tax Policy in the New Conditions

I. S. Bukina
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Abstract

In  2023,  the  Russian  economy  recovered  relatively  quickly,  despite  the  persistence  of geopolitical tensions, the risks of new sanctions and the deterioration of the global situation. This has a beneficial effect on the results of budget execution of the budget system of the Russian Federation. At the same time, the question remains whether there is a transformation of the influence of external and internal factors on the state of budgets and fiscal policy. An analysis of the results for 2023 and their comparison with 2021 showed that the nominal stabilization of oil and gas revenues of the federal budget, the growth of non-oil and gas revenues and the resumption of the fiscal rule are occurring against the backdrop of an increase in the tax burden and expenses. The increase in expenditures related to defense, security and related social payments is accompanied by a reduction in civilian expenditures of the federal budget and an increase in both the federal internal debt and the debt of the constituent entities of the Russian Federation.
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新形势下预算和税收政策的结果
2023 年,尽管地缘政治紧张局势持续存在、新制裁风险和全球局势恶化,俄罗斯经济仍 然恢复较快。这对俄罗斯联邦预算系统的预算执行结果产生了有利影响。与此同时,外部和内部因素对预算和财政政策状况的影响是否会发生转变仍是一个问题。对 2023 年的结果及其与 2021 年的对比分析表明,联邦预算中石油和天然气收入的名义稳定、非石油和天然气收入的增长以及财政规则的恢复是在税收负担和支出增加的背景下发生的。在国防、安全和相关社会支出增加的同时,联邦预算的民用支出减少,联邦内债和俄联邦主体债务增加。
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