War and the adoption of family allowances

Herbert Obinger, Carina Schmitt
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Abstract

Many Western countries first introduced family allowances around the Second World War. We argue that this clustering is not coincidental and put pronatalist policies related to war preparation and the socioeconomic and demographic ramifications of the Second World War at the center of our explanation. To test this, we first conduct brief case studies of France, Germany, Italy, and Japan to detail how war preparation influenced the introduction of such family allowances. Second, a panel regression of 18 Western countries investigates the different factors contributing to the timing of introduction of such policies and shows that war and its aftershocks have been an important causal factor in the introduction of family allowances. It was not so much the destructiveness of and the involvement in the war that played a role, but rather a general wartime crisis that affected belligerent and non-belligerent countries in similar ways.
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战争与家庭津贴的采用
许多西方国家是在第二次世界大战前后首次引入家庭津贴的。我们认为这种聚集并非巧合,并将与备战相关的代孕政策以及第二次世界大战的社会经济和人口影响作为我们解释的核心。为了验证这一点,我们首先对法国、德国、意大利和日本进行了简要的案例研究,以详细了解备战如何影响了此类家庭津贴的引入。其次,我们对 18 个西方国家进行了面板回归,调查了导致引入此类政策时间的不同因素,结果显示战争及其余震是引入家庭津贴的重要因果因素。起作用的并不是战争的破坏性和卷入程度,而是以类似方式影响交战国和非交战国的普遍战时危机。
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