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When incumbents successfully retrench big and popular social policies: policy design matters – CORRIGENDUM 当执政者成功收回大而受欢迎的社会政策时:政策设计很重要 - CORRIGENDUM
Pub Date : 2024-05-24 DOI: 10.1017/s0143814x24000138
Marta Arretche, Pedro H. G. F. Souza
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引用次数: 0
Why do citizens support algorithmic government? 为什么公民支持算法政府?
Pub Date : 2024-05-20 DOI: 10.1017/s0143814x24000114
Dario Sidhu, Beatrice Magistro, Benjamin Allen Stevens, P. Loewen
As governments increasingly adopt algorithms and artificial intelligence (AAI), we still know comparatively little about citizens’ support for algorithmic government. In this paper, we analyze how many and what kind of reasons for government use of AAI citizens support. We use a sample of 17,000 respondents from 16 OECD countries and find that opinions on algorithmic government are divided. A narrow majority of people (55.6%) support a majority of reasons for using algorithmic government, and this is relatively consistent across countries. Results from multilevel models suggest that most of the cross-country variation is explained by individual-level characteristics, including age, education, gender, and income. Older and more educated respondents are more accepting of algorithmic government, while female and low-income respondents are less supportive. Finally, we classify the reasons for using algorithmic government into two types, “fairness” and “efficiency,” and find that support for them varies based on individuals’ political attitudes.
随着政府越来越多地采用算法和人工智能(AAI),我们对公民对算法政府的支持仍然知之甚少。在本文中,我们分析了公民支持政府使用 AAI 的数量和原因。我们使用了来自 16 个经合组织国家的 17000 个受访者样本,发现人们对算法政府的看法存在分歧。只有极少数人(55.6%)支持使用算法政府的大多数理由,而且各国的情况相对一致。多层次模型的结果表明,大部分国家间的差异是由个人层面的特征(包括年龄、教育程度、性别和收入)造成的。年龄越大、受教育程度越高的受访者对算法政府的接受度越高,而女性和低收入受访者对算法政府的支持度较低。最后,我们将使用算法政府的原因分为 "公平 "和 "效率 "两类,并发现对这两类原因的支持因个人的政治态度而异。
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引用次数: 0
Delegating legislative powers to the European Commission: the threat of non-compliance with tertiary legislation in the member states 向欧盟委员会下放立法权:成员国不遵守三级立法的威胁
Pub Date : 2024-04-25 DOI: 10.1017/s0143814x24000096
Nikoleta Yordanova, Asya Zhelyazkova
When does the delegation of legislative powers to the executive endanger policy compliance? The European Union (EU) Lisbon Treaty introduced quasi-legislative tertiary legislation – delegated acts – which empowers the European Commission to amend secondary legislation. Formally, member states control delegated acts only ex post via a veto power in the Council, while they have both ex ante amendment powers and ex post veto over the alternative Commission legislation: implementing acts. However, as member states determine the choice of legislative instrument, we argue that they would consent to the Commission adopting delegated acts only on non-controversial issues. Such selection should result in their lower compliance with implementing than with delegated acts. Our analyses of member states’ transposition delays and infringement cases related to EU tertiary directives support this argument. The results suggest that the delegation of legislative powers to the executive does not increase non-compliance when the legislators have the means to moderate it ex ante.
向行政部门下放立法权何时会危及政策的合规性?欧洲联盟(欧盟)《里斯本条约》引入了准立法三级立法--授权法案,授权欧盟委员会修改二级立法。从形式上看,成员国只能通过理事会的否决权事后控制委托法案,而对于委员会的替代立法--实施法案,成员国既有事前修正权,也有事后否决权。然而,由于成员国决定立法工具的选择,我们认为,它们会同意委员会只在无争议的问题上通过授权法案。这种选择应导致成员国对实施法案的遵守程度低于对委托法案的遵守程度。我们对成员国与欧盟三级指令相关的转化延迟和侵权案例的分析支持了这一论点。结果表明,如果立法者有办法事先控制不遵守行为,那么将立法权下放给行政部门并不会增加不遵守行为。
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引用次数: 0
Anti-Muslim policy preferences and boundaries of American identity across partisanship 跨党派的反穆斯林政策偏好和美国身份认同的界限
Pub Date : 2024-04-12 DOI: 10.1017/s0143814x24000060
Nazita Lajevardi, Kassra A. R. Oskooii
Does American identity predict preferences for anti-democratic policies that aim to marginalize Muslim Americans? Absent significant priming of inclusive elements of American identity, we argue that individuals with stronger attachments to American identity will be less likely than their counterparts to reject a range of anti-Muslim policies that are antithetical to principles of religious liberty and equality. Across three surveys and multiple measures, American identity powerfully predicts preferences for curbing the civil liberties of Muslim citizens. Particularly striking is the finding that the effect of American identity spans the partisan divide; it consistently explains the endorsement of exclusionary policies among self-identified Democrats, who typically hold more progressive policy positions toward minority groups than Republicans. Overall, our study highlights the contradictory and exclusionary nature of American identity, which has important implications for minority groups constructed as outside the boundaries of Americanness.
美国身份认同能否预测人们对旨在排挤美国穆斯林的反民主政策的偏好?我们认为,如果美国身份认同中的包容性元素没有明显的影响,那么对美国身份认同有较强依恋的人将比他们的同类人更不可能拒绝一系列反穆斯林政策,这些政策与宗教自由和平等原则背道而驰。在三项调查和多种衡量标准中,美国身份认同有力地预测了对限制穆斯林公民公民自由的偏好。尤其令人震惊的是,我们发现美国身份认同的影响跨越了党派分歧;它始终如一地解释了自我认同的民主党人对排斥性政策的认可,而民主党人通常比共和党人对少数群体持有更进步的政策立场。总之,我们的研究凸显了美国身份认同的矛盾性和排斥性,这对被视为美国性界限之外的少数群体具有重要影响。
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引用次数: 0
How is the path produced and sustained? Path-dependent college education expansion and underlying liberal rule in Korea 路径是如何产生和维持的?韩国大学教育扩张的路径依赖和潜在的自由主义规则
Pub Date : 2024-04-11 DOI: 10.1017/s0143814x24000084
Eunjeong Jang
The conventional policy analyses with a path-dependent framework are featured by sequential causation composed of analytically two distinct phases: path production that occurs through a significant policy change at critical junctures and the subsequent path reproduction. This paper explores one policy area where the two-phase framework falls short in explaining path-making and maintenance – college education expansion in Korea. We argue that the shortcomings of the two-phase model can potentially be overcome by incorporating the underlying rule of the countries into the model. We identify the underlying rule relying on Esping-Andersen’s welfare regimes to highlight the political underpinnings of the countries. We show that the underlying liberal rule is a fundamental causal force behind the production and reproduction of college education expansion in Korea, using qualitative comparative analysis. Our framework based on the underlying rule provides a richer understanding of path dependency.
采用路径依赖框架进行的传统政策分析,其特点是由分析上两个不同阶段组成的顺序因果关系:在关键时刻通过重大政策变化产生的路径生成,以及随后的路径再现。本文探讨了两阶段框架在解释路径生成和维持方面存在不足的一个政策领域--韩国的大学教育扩张。我们认为,将国家的基本规则纳入模型,有可能克服两阶段模型的缺陷。我们根据埃斯平-安德森(Esping-Andersen)的福利制度来确定基本规则,以突出各国的政治基础。我们通过定性比较分析表明,自由主义的基本规则是韩国大学教育扩张的生产和再生产背后的基本因果力量。我们基于基本规则的框架为路径依赖提供了更丰富的理解。
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引用次数: 0
Biodiversity, multi-level governance, and policy implementation in Europe: a comparative analysis at the subnational level 欧洲的生物多样性、多级治理和政策实施:国家以下一级的比较分析
Pub Date : 2024-03-27 DOI: 10.1017/s0143814x24000072
G. Ferraro, P. Failler
International efforts to protect biodiversity date back to the 1970s. The effectiveness of Multilateral Environmental Agreements and regional legal instruments has been influenced by national implementation. In this process, subnational governance plays a crucial role. Although policy implementation has been extensively investigated, its subnational dimension has been somewhat neglected, particularly in peripheral areas such as the Outermost Regions of Europe. These remote territories are critical areas in the global fight against biodiversity loss since their ecosystems’ richness makes them biodiversity hotspots. The article applies the knowledge cumulated in policy research to the implementation of biodiversity policy in two of these territories – Reunion Island (France) and the Canary Islands (Spain) – and analyzes policy implementation in the context of multi-level governance. The article questions whether and to what extent decentralization benefits biodiversity policies and highlights salient trade-offs: local empowerment versus fragmentation of competences; responsiveness versus subnational discretion; and accountability versus policy capture.
保护生物多样性的国际努力可追溯到 20 世纪 70 年代。多边环境协定和区域法律文书的有效性受到国家执行情况的影响。在这一过程中,国家以下各级的治理发挥着至关重要的作用。尽管对政策执行情况进行了广泛的调查,但其国家以下层面的问题却在某种程度上被忽视了,尤其是在欧洲最边缘地区。这些偏远地区是全球应对生物多样性丧失的关键地区,因为其丰富的生态系统使其成为生物多样性热点地区。文章将政策研究中积累的知识应用于其中两个地区--留尼汪岛(法国)和加那利群岛(西班牙)--生物多样性政策的实施,并在多级治理的背景下对政策实施进行分析。文章质疑权力下放是否以及在多大程度上有利于生物多样性政策,并强调了突出的权衡问题:地方赋权与权限分散;响应能力与国家以下各级的自由裁量权;问责制与政策俘获。
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引用次数: 0
Fear, trust, and compliance with COVID-19 measures: a study of the mediating effect of trust in government on the relationship between fear and compliance 恐惧、信任和 COVID-19 测量的遵从性:研究对政府的信任对恐惧与遵从之间关系的中介效应
Pub Date : 2024-03-11 DOI: 10.1017/s0143814x24000059
Lenka Hrbková, Aleš Kudrnáč
As the COVID-19 pandemic became an unprecedented global threat, it was accompanied by an increase in trust in governments as well as fear among the public. Previous research suggests that both institutional trust and fear contribute to the willingness of citizens to comply with anti-pandemic measures. Moreover, fear during the contagion also increases trust in government. This article presents a test of the mediation of the effects of fear on compliance through trust. In addition, it differentiates between three different facets of COVID-19-related fear: fear of the disease, fear of economic consequences, and fear of political consequences. The results suggest that while fear of the disease increases compliance, fear of political consequences decreases compliance. Moreover, the effects of fear are mediated through trust in government. The negative impact of fear of political consequences on compliance increased between April and December 2020.
随着 COVID-19 大流行病成为前所未有的全球性威胁,人们对政府的信任和公众的恐惧也随之增加。以往的研究表明,制度信任和恐惧感都有助于提高公民遵守防疫措施的意愿。此外,疫情蔓延期间的恐惧也会增加对政府的信任。本文检验了恐惧通过信任对遵守措施的影响的中介作用。此外,文章还区分了 COVID-19 相关恐惧的三个不同方面:对疾病的恐惧、对经济后果的恐惧和对政治后果的恐惧。研究结果表明,对疾病的恐惧会增加遵从性,而对政治后果的恐惧则会降低遵从性。此外,恐惧的影响是通过对政府的信任来调节的。在 2020 年 4 月至 12 月期间,对政治后果的恐惧对遵从性的负面影响有所增加。
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引用次数: 0
Bureaucratic entrepreneurship: how frontline bureaucrats promote policy innovation 官僚创业:一线官僚如何推动政策创新
Pub Date : 2024-03-04 DOI: 10.1017/s0143814x24000023
Xuefan Zhang, Yanling He
In contrast to other studies on policy entrepreneurship that address frontline officials’ roles in formal legislative procedures, this case study focuses on how frontline officials promote policy innovation within inconspicuous administrative routines. Because frontline officials have no legislative power, they must overcome officialism by using bureaucratic skills and seeking consensus among multiple stakeholders. “Citizen agents” and “state agents” are both necessary roles. This case provides administrative details on how a deadlocked policy was gradually enlivened within undramatic administrative routines. The findings bridge the legislative–administrative gap and improve the understanding of the long-term effects of frontline administrative activities on policy innovations.
与其他针对一线官员在正式立法程序中的作用的政策创业研究不同,本案例研究侧重于一线官员如何在不起眼的行政例行工作中推动政策创新。由于一线官员没有立法权,他们必须利用官僚技巧克服官僚主义,并寻求多方利益相关者的共识。"公民代理人 "和 "国家代理人 "都是必要的角色。本案例提供了行政细节,说明一项陷入僵局的政策是如何在平静的行政常规中逐渐活跃起来的。研究结果弥补了立法与行政之间的差距,增进了人们对一线行政活动对政策创新的长期影响的理解。
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引用次数: 0
Tales and theories as levers of expert influence: A case study of the Norwegian Oil Fund 作为专家影响力杠杆的故事和理论:挪威石油基金案例研究
Pub Date : 2024-02-29 DOI: 10.1017/s0143814x24000047
Camilla Bakken Øvald, Bent Sofus Tranøy, Ketil Raknes
The power of economists in policymaking is widely recognized by both scholars and political actors. While the literature on expert influence has primarily focused on the intellectual features of expert arguments, we argue that economists’ strategic use of framing and normative reasoning wields more influence in policymaking than is acknowledged by current scholarship. Through a comprehensive investigation into the institutionalization of the Norwegian Oil Fund and its associated fiscal regime, drawing on 26 elite interviews with key political and technocratic actors, we unveil the considerable influence of state economists in shaping the policy for managing petroleum wealth. These economists not only played a crucial role in legitimizing and lending credibility to the new policy but also employed strategic framing as a reinforcing mechanism to sustain the policy regime, illustrating the essential role of economists as storytellers. Hence, we suggest including strategic framing as a conceptual element within the theoretical framework of expert influence.
经济学家在决策中的影响力得到了学者和政治参与者的广泛认可。尽管有关专家影响力的文献主要集中于专家论证的知识特征,但我们认为,经济学家对框架和规范推理的战略性使用在决策中产生的影响力远远超过了目前学术界所承认的程度。通过对挪威石油基金及其相关财政制度的制度化进行全面调查,并对主要政治和技术官员进行26次精英访谈,我们揭示了国家经济学家在制定石油财富管理政策方面的巨大影响力。这些经济学家不仅在新政策的合法性和可信度方面发挥了至关重要的作用,而且还利用战略框架作为一种强化机制来维持政策制度,这说明了经济学家作为 "讲故事者 "的重要作用。因此,我们建议将战略框架作为一个概念要素纳入专家影响力的理论框架中。
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引用次数: 0
War and the adoption of family allowances 战争与家庭津贴的采用
Pub Date : 2024-02-16 DOI: 10.1017/s0143814x24000035
Herbert Obinger, Carina Schmitt
Many Western countries first introduced family allowances around the Second World War. We argue that this clustering is not coincidental and put pronatalist policies related to war preparation and the socioeconomic and demographic ramifications of the Second World War at the center of our explanation. To test this, we first conduct brief case studies of France, Germany, Italy, and Japan to detail how war preparation influenced the introduction of such family allowances. Second, a panel regression of 18 Western countries investigates the different factors contributing to the timing of introduction of such policies and shows that war and its aftershocks have been an important causal factor in the introduction of family allowances. It was not so much the destructiveness of and the involvement in the war that played a role, but rather a general wartime crisis that affected belligerent and non-belligerent countries in similar ways.
许多西方国家是在第二次世界大战前后首次引入家庭津贴的。我们认为这种聚集并非巧合,并将与备战相关的代孕政策以及第二次世界大战的社会经济和人口影响作为我们解释的核心。为了验证这一点,我们首先对法国、德国、意大利和日本进行了简要的案例研究,以详细了解备战如何影响了此类家庭津贴的引入。其次,我们对 18 个西方国家进行了面板回归,调查了导致引入此类政策时间的不同因素,结果显示战争及其余震是引入家庭津贴的重要因果因素。起作用的并不是战争的破坏性和卷入程度,而是以类似方式影响交战国和非交战国的普遍战时危机。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Public Policy
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