Efficacy of Monetary Policy Transmission During the Flexible Inflation Targeting Regime in India

Samahita Phul
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Abstract

This article builds a Structural Vector Autoregressive model and employs non-recursive identification restrictions to examine the effectiveness of the Monetary policy transmission mechanism in India during the Flexible Inflation Targeting regime (2016–2023). The results indicate that policy rate shocks have a significant negative impact on domestic output and prices during this regime. The findings further, reveal evidence of an exchange rate puzzle during the Flexible Inflation Targeting regime. Our results give credence to the RBI’s move towards a Flexible indicator targeting approach as all the macroeconomic variables of interest, that is, Domestic output and inflation produce plausible estimates in response to a monetary policy shock.JEL Classification: C32, E52, E5, E52, F41
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印度灵活通胀目标制期间货币政策传导的有效性
本文建立了一个结构向量自回归模型,并采用非递归识别限制来研究印度在灵活通胀目标制(2016-2023 年)期间货币政策传导机制的有效性。结果表明,在该机制下,政策利率冲击对国内产出和价格产生了显著的负面影响。研究结果进一步揭示了灵活通胀目标制期间汇率谜团的证据。我们的研究结果证实了印度央行转向灵活指标目标制的做法,因为所有相关的宏观经济变量,即国内产出和通胀在货币政策冲击下都会产生合理的估计值:C32, E52, E5, E52, F41
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CiteScore
2.10
自引率
11.10%
发文量
10
期刊介绍: The purpose of the Journal is to publish (in English language) peer-reviewed articles, reviews and scholarly comments on issues relating to contemporary global macroeconomics and public finance by which is understood: The Journal is for all professionals concerned with contemporary Macroeconomics and Public Finance and is a forum for all views on related subjects. The Editorial Board welcomes articles of current interest on research and application on the areas mentioned above. The Journal will be international in the sense that it seeks research papers from authors with an international reputation and articles that are of interest to an international audience. In pursuit of the above, the journal shall: a. draw on and include high quality work from the international community of scholars including those in the major countries of Asia, Europe, Asia Pacific, the United States, other parts of the Americas and elsewhere with due representation for considerations of the readership. The Journal shall include work representing the major areas of interest in contemporary research on Macroeconomics and Public Finance and on a wide range of issues covering macro- economics, tax and fiscal issues, banking and finance, international trade, labour economics, computational and mathematical methods, etc. The Journal would particularly engage papers on pure and applied economic theory and econometric methods. b. avoid bias in favour of the interests of particular schools or directions of research or particular political or narrow disciplinary objectives to the exclusion of others. c. ensure that articles are written in a terminology and style which makes them intelligible, not merely within the context of a particular discipline or abstract mode, but across the domain of relevant disciplines.
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