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Efficacy of Monetary Policy Transmission During the Flexible Inflation Targeting Regime in India 印度灵活通胀目标制期间货币政策传导的有效性
IF 0.9 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-28 DOI: 10.1177/22779787241245237
Samahita Phul
This article builds a Structural Vector Autoregressive model and employs non-recursive identification restrictions to examine the effectiveness of the Monetary policy transmission mechanism in India during the Flexible Inflation Targeting regime (2016–2023). The results indicate that policy rate shocks have a significant negative impact on domestic output and prices during this regime. The findings further, reveal evidence of an exchange rate puzzle during the Flexible Inflation Targeting regime. Our results give credence to the RBI’s move towards a Flexible indicator targeting approach as all the macroeconomic variables of interest, that is, Domestic output and inflation produce plausible estimates in response to a monetary policy shock.JEL Classification: C32, E52, E5, E52, F41
本文建立了一个结构向量自回归模型,并采用非递归识别限制来研究印度在灵活通胀目标制(2016-2023 年)期间货币政策传导机制的有效性。结果表明,在该机制下,政策利率冲击对国内产出和价格产生了显著的负面影响。研究结果进一步揭示了灵活通胀目标制期间汇率谜团的证据。我们的研究结果证实了印度央行转向灵活指标目标制的做法,因为所有相关的宏观经济变量,即国内产出和通胀在货币政策冲击下都会产生合理的估计值:C32, E52, E5, E52, F41
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引用次数: 0
Agricultural Marketing in India: Challenges, Policies and Politics 印度的农产品营销:挑战、政策和政治
IF 0.9 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-12-11 DOI: 10.1177/22779787231209169
Subhomay Saha, Chaitali Sinha, Shrabani Saha
This article is an attempt to provide a critical review of the present process of agricultural marketing in India in the wake of the recent discontent amongst the farmers that took place with the passing of the three controversial farm laws in September 2020 and giving respite to the agrarian community of the country by repealing of these new laws in November 2021. The old agricultural system of India needs to be changed. The three farm laws that were passed were of the intention to modernize the Indian agricultural market by encouraging investment and increasing competition. However, there was a country-wide protest from the farmers as they were sceptical that these laws would ultimately withdraw or reduce the security net provided by the states and put them in a vulnerable position. The present review takes a deeper dig into the present agricultural marketing situation of India in the context of the new farm laws and tries to critically evaluate the situation. JEL Classification: Q13 Q15 Q18
本文试图对印度目前的农业营销过程进行批判性审查,因为最近农民对2020年9月通过的三项有争议的农业法感到不满,并通过在2021年11月废除这些新法律来缓解该国的农业社区。印度旧的农业制度需要改变。通过的三项农业法旨在通过鼓励投资和增加竞争来实现印度农业市场的现代化。然而,农民们在全国范围内举行了抗议,因为他们怀疑这些法律最终会撤回或减少国家提供的安全网,并使他们处于弱势地位。本综述在新农业法的背景下,对印度目前的农业营销情况进行了更深入的挖掘,并试图对这种情况进行批判性评估。JEL分类:Q13 Q15 Q18
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引用次数: 0
Productivity Shock and Labour Input: Evidence from Correlated Unobserved Component Model 生产力冲击与劳动力投入:相关非观测成分模型的证据
IF 0.9 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-12-11 DOI: 10.1177/22779787231209612
Jitender Singh, Arup Mitra
This note assesses the relationship between labour productivity and employment in the framework of the unobserved component model as well as the vector autoregressive model. In the case of the organized/formal manufacturing sector in India, the transitory increase in productivity is seen to reduce the man-days in the short run, though it is not statistically significant. Permanent shock to productivity decreases labour inputs permanently, and vice versa and their association is also statistically significant. Incentivizing the firms to expand their activities, diversify production and process secondary products may help restore employment in the face of a permanent productivity shock. JEL Classification: C11, C32, E32
本说明在非观测成分模型和向量自回归模型的框架内评估了劳动生产率与就业之间的关系。就印度有组织/正规制造业而言,生产率的短暂提高会在短期内减少工日,尽管在统计上并不显著。生产率的永久性冲击会永久性地减少劳动力投入,反之亦然,两者之间的关联在统计上也是显著的。激励企业扩大活动、实现生产多样化和加工次级产品,可能有助于在面临生产率长期冲击时恢复就业。JEL 分类:C11、C32、E32
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引用次数: 0
Role of ICT, Governance Quality in Indirect Tax Revenue Productivity: A Comparative Analysis of Two Recent Indirect Tax Regimes in Indian States 信息和通信技术、治理质量在间接税收入生产率中的作用:印度各邦最近两种间接税制度的比较分析
IF 0.9 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-12-08 DOI: 10.1177/22779787231210743
Hrushikesh Mallick
The study explores the determinants of indirect tax mobilization across various groups of Indian states based on their major, minor categories and more and less industrialized attributes. It observes a strongly positive but differential impact of per capita RGSDP on own tax revenue efforts of various state groups. Information and Communication Technology use is only helping major less and minor more producer states in augmenting their tax revenues, whereas it results in decreased revenues for major more and minor less producing state groups including all the states in a group. This implies use of Information and Communication Technology has been less effective for most Indian states in augmenting their tax revenues. The governance quality results in loss of tax revenues in major and minor less producer states, while it has no effect on major more producer including all minor and all states together. This implies a weak role of governance in taxation. We observe differential impact of tax regimes for different state panels, which has significant policy relevance. JEL Classification: H11, H21, H27, H77
该研究根据印度各邦的主要类别、次要类别和工业化程度的高低,探讨了间接税动员的决定因素。它观察到人均国内生产总值对不同国家集团自身税收努力的强烈积极但不同的影响。信息和通信技术的使用只会帮助主要生产较少和次要生产较多的州增加税收,而它会导致主要生产较多和次要生产较少的州集团(包括一个集团中的所有州)的收入减少。这意味着,对大多数印度邦来说,信息和通信技术在增加税收收入方面的效果较差。治理质量导致主要和次要少产邦的税收损失,而对包括所有次要和所有州在内的主要多产邦没有影响。这意味着政府在税收方面的作用很弱。我们观察到不同州面板的税收制度的差异影响,这具有重要的政策相关性。分类:H11, H21, H27, H77
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引用次数: 0
Impact of Public Debt on Economic Growth: A Quantile Regression Approach 公共债务对经济增长的影响:量化回归方法
IF 0.9 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-11-22 DOI: 10.1177/22779787231207218
Chen Kong San, Lee Chin
This study aimed at investigating the nexus between government debt and its determinants in the context of sustainable economic growth for 97 countries over the period from 2004 to 2018 by employing a panel data quantile regression and comparing it across a fixed-effects model and a generalized method of moments (GMM) model. The different touches of debt on economic growth were analysed. The quantile regression estimates revealed that government debt has various impacts on economic growth, relying on the degree of economic performance. Government debt negatively affects economic growth across all the quantiles. More interestingly, the quantile regression estimates indicated that in countries with a very low level of real GDP per capita growth, government debt has a stronger pernicious effect on economic growth compared to upper-middle and high-income countries. Hence, our results provided insightful information for policy makers in designing appropriate fiscal policies particularly for low- and lower- middle-income countries to mitigate the negative effect on economic growth, and it should be maintained at a low and reasonable level to promote sustainable economic growth. JEL Classification: E61, E62, E63, H63, O4, O40
本研究旨在通过采用面板数据量化回归,并在固定效应模型和广义矩量法(GMM)模型之间进行比较,调查 2004 年至 2018 年期间 97 个国家在可持续经济增长背景下的政府债务及其决定因素之间的关系。分析了债务对经济增长的不同影响。量化回归估计结果显示,政府债务对经济增长的影响因经济表现程度而异。政府债务对所有量级的经济增长都有负面影响。更有趣的是,量化回归估计结果表明,在实际人均 GDP 增长水平很低的国家,与中高收入和高收入国家相比,政府债务对经济增长的有害影响更大。因此,我们的研究结果为政策制定者,尤其是低收入和中低收入国家的政策制定者提供了有启发性的信息,帮助他们制定适当的财政政策,以减轻政府债务对经济增长的负面影响,并应将政府债务维持在较低的合理水平,以促进经济的可持续增长。JEL Classification:E61, E62, E63, H63, O4, O40
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引用次数: 0
Performance and Efficiency of Public Sector in Independent Namibia 独立后纳米比亚公共部门的绩效和效率
Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-11-09 DOI: 10.1177/22779787231204698
Utpal Kumar De, Christopher P. P. Shafuda
An analysis of the performance and efficiency of the Namibian government’s interventions after the end of the colonial era has been made in this study for the period 1990 to 2015. Using the Afonso et al. public sector performance (PSP) and public sector efficiency (PSE) method and the Stochastic frontier analysis (SFA), the findings reveal a sluggishly improving efficiency in the public sector in Namibia. However, some performance indicators showed significant improvement, while others did not record any substantial improvement. Progress is recorded in government efforts and programmes to reduce inequality and poverty, but the outputs moved at a plodding pace. Programmes and policies to reduce unemployment failed to produce the expected outcomes. Additionally, technical progress has been very slow since independence, as reflected by the technical efficiency parameter. The findings suggest a need to improve the public sector’s performance and efficiency to ensure stability and accelerate growth in the previously colonized economies with the same features as Namibia. JEL Classification: H00, H11, H89, L38
本研究分析了1990年至2015年殖民时代结束后纳米比亚政府干预措施的绩效和效率。利用Afonso等人的公共部门绩效(PSP)和公共部门效率(PSE)方法以及随机前沿分析(SFA),研究结果揭示了纳米比亚公共部门效率的缓慢提高。然而,一些业绩指标显示有显著改善,而另一些则没有任何实质性改善。政府减少不平等和贫困的努力和计划取得了进展,但产出进展缓慢。减少失业的方案和政策未能产生预期的结果。此外,自独立以来,技术进步非常缓慢,这反映在技术效率参数上。调查结果表明,有必要改善公共部门的业绩和效率,以确保与纳米比亚具有相同特征的前殖民地经济体的稳定和加速增长。JEL分类:H00, H11, H89, L38
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引用次数: 0
Institutional Ownership, Capital Structure and Performance of SMEs in China 中国中小企业股权、资本结构与绩效
Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-11-09 DOI: 10.1177/22779787231196361
Geeta Duppati, Rachita Gulati, Neha Matlani, Ploypailin Kijkasiwat
This article examines the relationship between ownership, leverage, and performance for Chinese small and medium enterprises (SMEs). Our study sheds light on how institutional ownership affects the performance of Chinese SMEs. We use agency and the pecking order perspective as background theories for analysing the relationships between institutional ownership, capital structure, and firm performance. We use a range of regression estimations for robustness checks and include Quantile regression, static and dynamic panel regression models, and a two-step system Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) approach to explore data covering 2009–2015. Our findings show that institutional investor’s ownership affects the performance of Chinese SMEs positively and significantly. The negative relationship between leverage and performance indicates the dominance of family ownership in Chinese SMEs, where firms rely more on retained earnings for financing, which aligns with the pecking order theory (POT) perspective. The results also suggest that institutional ownership could mitigate agency issues in Chinese SMEs.
本文考察了中国中小企业股权、杠杆和绩效之间的关系。我们的研究揭示了制度所有权对中国中小企业绩效的影响。我们使用代理和啄序视角作为背景理论来分析机构所有权、资本结构和公司绩效之间的关系。我们使用一系列回归估计进行稳健性检验,包括分位数回归、静态和动态面板回归模型以及两步系统广义矩量法(GMM)方法来探索2009-2015年的数据。研究结果表明,机构投资者持股对中小企业绩效有显著的正向影响。杠杆与绩效之间的负相关关系表明,家族所有制在中国中小企业中占主导地位,企业更依赖留存收益进行融资,这与啄食序理论(POT)的观点一致。研究结果还表明,机构所有权可以缓解中国中小企业的代理问题。
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引用次数: 0
Can Fiscal Transfers Help India Meet Its SDG Goals? 财政转移能帮助印度实现可持续发展目标吗?
IF 0.9 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-07-17 DOI: 10.1177/22779787231168771
Fernanda Andrade de Xavier, P. Mukhopadhyay
This paper examines the possibility of using fiscal devolution in India to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals. We propose alternative weights and criteria to see how allocation between states would change if the Finance Commission of India (FC) used a framework that incentivizes achievements in social and environmental outcomes. Two different proposals are examined—one where level values of the female–male ratio, female literacy rate and forest cover are used to decide allocations and another where incremental values are used. The advantage of the second proposal is that it reduces historical bias. We calculate the alternative allocation that would emerge using these proposals and compare it with the actual allocation for the last three Finance Commissions—XIII to the XV. We find that the reallocation among the states incentivizes better performers and also help India achieve the goals for sustainable development. JEL Classification: H77, Q56, Q58
本文探讨了印度利用财政权力下放实现可持续发展目标的可能性。如果印度财政委员会(FC)采用一种激励社会和环境成果成就的框架,我们提出了替代权重和标准,以了解各邦之间的分配将如何变化。研究了两种不同的建议——一种是用男女比例、女性识字率和森林覆盖率的水平值来决定分配,另一种是用增量值来决定分配。第二种方案的优势在于它减少了历史偏见。我们计算了使用这些建议可能出现的替代分配,并将其与过去三个财政委员会(第十三届至第十五届)的实际分配进行比较。我们发现,各州之间的再分配激励了表现更好的人,也帮助印度实现了可持续发展的目标。JEL分类:H77, Q56, Q58
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引用次数: 1
Impact of Covid-19 on Stock Market Indices: Evidence from Colombo Stock Exchange Covid-19对股票市场指数的影响:来自科伦坡证券交易所的证据
IF 0.9 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-07-04 DOI: 10.4038/sajf.v3i1.52
A. Adikari, H. Buddhika
Purpose: The study intends to address the question, “What is the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on stock market indices in the Colombo Stock Exchange”. This would support potential and existing investors to understand the behaviour of the stock market during the pandemic to make effective long-term decisions since there are only a few studies currently available in Sri Lankan context.Design/Methodology/Approach: A log-linear multiple regression model was executed whereby the dependent variables, All Share Price Index and S&P SL 20 index, were regressed against independent variables, daily new cases and deaths reported, fiscal and monetary policy measures implemented, and island-wide travel restrictions imposed during the period to analyze the impact of Covid-19 on the financial market over 270 days, from 27th January 2020 to 30th April 2021, covering two waves of the pandemic.Findings: The regression analysis revealed a positive relationship between the stock indices and the number of daily cases and deaths and a negative relationship with the travel restrictions imposed during the period. The policy measures implemented by the Government of Sri Lanka were insignificant in the index movements. Based on the results of this study, a positive impact on the stock indices was discovered during the pandemic; hence investors should refrain from panic withdrawals from the market.Originality: This is among the few studies to analyze the stock market performance during the Covid-19 pandemic adapted to the Sri Lankan context. The variables taken in the study can cover various aspects of the pandemic situation.
目的:本研究旨在解决“Covid-19大流行对科伦坡证券交易所股票市场指数的影响”这一问题。这将有助于潜在和现有投资者了解大流行期间股票市场的行为,以便做出有效的长期决策,因为目前针对斯里兰卡的研究很少。设计/方法/方法:执行了一个对数线性多元回归模型,将因变量(所有股价指数和标准普尔SL 20指数)与自变量、每日新病例和死亡报告、实施的财政和货币政策措施以及在此期间实施的全岛旅行限制进行回归,以分析2019冠状病毒病对金融市场的影响,从2020年1月27日到2021年4月30日,涵盖了两波大流行。调查结果:回归分析显示,股票指数与每日病例数和死亡人数呈正相关,与该期间实施的旅行限制呈正相关。斯里兰卡政府实施的政策措施对指数变动影响不大。根据本研究的结果,在大流行期间发现了对股票指数的积极影响;因此,投资者应避免恐慌性撤出市场。独创性:这是为数不多的根据斯里兰卡情况分析2019冠状病毒病大流行期间股市表现的研究之一。研究中采用的变量可以涵盖流行病情况的各个方面。
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引用次数: 0
Banks’ Level Factors Affecting the Effective Implementation of Anti-Money Laundering Practices in Nepalese Banks: An Employee and Customer Perspectives 影响尼泊尔银行有效实施反洗钱措施的银行层面因素:员工和客户视角
IF 0.9 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-07-04 DOI: 10.4038/sajf.v3i1.53
G. Biswakarma, P. Bhusal
Purpose: Money laundering can affect global macroeconomic projections, currency markets, and financial stability by fueling shadow economies. Thus, the efficiency of the Anti-Money Laundering (AML) procedure must be investigated. Understanding such elements may help prevent money laundering. This necessitates studies to raise awareness and emphasize its importance. This study sought to assess customer understanding and examine the factors that affect the efficient application of AML regulations in Nepalese banks.Design/Methodology/Approach: This study includes responses from 201 bank consumers and 156 bank employees. The study focused on customers' AML awareness and how bank employees implement AML regulations in their respective banks.Findings: According to the study, consumers apprehend money laundering, terrorist financing, and their implications. According to bank employees, customers are unaware of money laundering and its consequences. Banking and financial institutions should prioritize education and awareness to improve the implementation of anti-money laundering regulations. Control over company sophistication, business ethics, customer awareness, and the AML system all have a favorable influence on Nepali banks' AML policies. The analysis reveals that business sophistication control is quite important.Originality: The study focused on consumer and employee AML knowledge, revealing ground-level perspectives. The study found the variables related to the bank's management and compliance department's views on AML policy implementation. This research assists government agencies and policymakers in developing national anti-money laundering measures and aids academics in AML procedure implementation.
目的:洗钱可以通过助长影子经济影响全球宏观经济预测、货币市场和金融稳定。因此,反洗钱(AML)程序的效率必须进行调查。了解这些因素可能有助于防止洗钱。这需要通过研究来提高认识并强调其重要性。本研究旨在评估客户的理解,并检查影响尼泊尔银行反洗钱法规有效应用的因素。设计/方法/方法:本研究包括201名银行消费者和156名银行员工的反馈。该研究的重点是客户的“反洗钱”意识,以及银行员工如何在各自的银行实施“反洗钱”法规。调查结果:根据这项研究,消费者对洗钱、恐怖主义融资及其影响有所了解。据银行员工称,客户不知道洗钱及其后果。银行和金融机构应优先开展教育和提高反洗钱法规的实施意识。对公司成熟度、商业道德、客户意识和“反洗钱”制度的控制都对尼泊尔银行的“反洗钱”政策产生了有利影响。分析表明,业务复杂程度控制非常重要。独创性:该研究侧重于消费者和员工的反洗钱知识,揭示了基层的观点。研究发现,这些变量与银行管理层和合规部门对“反洗钱”政策实施的看法有关。本研究有助于政府机构和政策制定者制定国家反洗钱措施,并帮助学术界实施反洗钱程序。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
South Asian Journal of Macroeconomics and Public Finance
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