Potential role of nuclear power in a carbon-free world

Andrey V. Kaplienko, B. Gabaraev, Yuriy S. Cherepnin
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Abstract

Thermal Power Plants (ThPP), along with transport facilities, are the major sources for industrial emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2) believed to be responsible for the greenhouse effect leading to overheating of the lower atmosphere. In the opinion of many scientists, there is a threshold value of the average atmospheric temperature exceeding, which entails the potential for the development of irreversible processes threatening the existence of humankind. To avoid this danger, governments in nearly 200 countries have chosen voluntarily to reach net-zero CO2 emissions by 2050. Renewable Energy Sources (RES), including wind and solar power plants, have been selected as substitutes for ThPPs. However, energy systems based on RES only need to be multiply redundant in terms of installed capacity due to their efficiency being heavily dependent on daily, seasonal and weather factors, leave alone the scale of the required material resources (metals, polymers, concrete, glass, etc.). The major drawback of such energy systems is, however, the RES common-cause failure, e.g., in the event of a global volcanic eruption, when no energy-security requirement can be met to provide energy for satisfying the most vital needs. A need is fully evident for furnishing such energy system with another power source to be not dependent on the event that has caused the mass RES failure. With the net-zero-carbon requirement taken into account, Nuclear Power (NP) appears to be the best option in this respect. Modern NP does not however fully suits this role due to its inherent drawbacks (limited fuel resources, pending Spent Nuclear Fuel (SNF) and RadioActive Wastes (RAW) handling and nuclear-material nonproliferation issues). A potential solution to these drawbacks is a two-component NP technology in a closed nuclear-fuel cycle currently in the process of development. In Russia, where the greatest progress has been achieved in this field of development, under construction is a pilot and demonstration energy complex with the BREST-OD-300 nuclear unit expected to be started up in 2026–2027. Another promising designs to be developed are Small Modular Reactors (SMRs) / Small Nuclear Power Plants (SNPPs).
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核能在无碳世界中的潜在作用
火力发电厂(ThPP)和交通设施是工业排放二氧化碳(CO2)的主要来源,据信,二氧化碳是导致大气层过热的温室效应的罪魁祸首。许多科学家认为,大气平均温度有一个临界值,如果超过这个临界值,就有可能出现不可逆转的过程,威胁到人类的生存。为了避免这一危险,近 200 个国家的政府自愿选择到 2050 年实现二氧化碳净零排放。可再生能源(RES),包括风能和太阳能发电厂,已被选为 ThPPs 的替代品。然而,基于可再生能源的能源系统在装机容量方面只需成倍冗余,因为其效率在很大程度上取决于日常、季节和天气因素,更不用说所需的材料资源(金属、聚合物、混凝土、玻璃等)的规模了。然而,这种能源系统的主要缺点是可再生能源系统的常见故障,例如,在全球火山爆发时,无法满足能源安全要求,无法提供满足最重要需求的能源。显然,有必要为这种能源系统提供另一种动力源,使其不依赖于造成可再生能源大规模故障的事件。考虑到净碳为零的要求,核能(NP)似乎是这方面的最佳选择。然而,由于其固有的缺点(燃料资源有限、乏核燃料(SNF)和放射性废物(RAW)的处理以及核材料的不扩散问题),现代核能并不能完全胜任这一角色。目前正在开发的封闭式核燃料循环中的双组分核燃料技术是解决这些缺点的潜在方案。俄罗斯在这一领域的开发取得了最大进展,目前正在建设一个试点和示范能源综合体,其中的 BREST-OD-300 核电机组预计将于 2026-2027 年启动。另一个有望开发的设计是小型模块化反应堆(SMRs)/小型核电站(SNPPs)。
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