HOUSING PRICE, FAMILY STRUCTURES AND HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION: EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE OF TAIWAN

Chih-Hsing Hung, Yen-Hung Chen, Chung-Chieh Cheng, Shyh-Weir Tzang
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Abstract

The housing price affects the allocation of family budget on consumption. We use regression analysis to confirm whether Taiwan’s housing prices have a significant influence on household consumption based on the questionnaire survey on household income and expenditure in 2018. We find that housing prices have the greatest impact on household consumption, possibly because housing accounts for the largest proportion of household assets, implying a significant wealth effect. In addition, the impact of interest of deposit on consumption is also found to be greater than that of household income as it is related to the level of total assets. The housing prices for single-person household with female gender have a negative and significant impact on household consumption. Finally, housing prices are found to have a significantly negative effect on non-consumption and current transfer expenditure. The possible reason is that the households who hold the house believe that the appreciation of housing price can provide more protection for the family from suffering from possible economic risks in the future and thus crowd out non-consumption expenditures.
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住房价格、家庭结构和家庭消费:台湾的经验证据
房价影响家庭预算在消费上的分配。我们以2018年家庭收支问卷调查为基础,运用回归分析确认台湾房价是否对家庭消费有显著影响。我们发现,房价对家庭消费的影响最大,这可能是因为住房在家庭资产中占比最大,意味着财富效应显著。此外,我们还发现存款利息对消费的影响也大于家庭收入,因为它与总资产水平有关。女性单人家庭的住房价格对家庭消费有显著的负面影响。最后,住房价格对非消费和经常性转移支出有显著的负面影响。可能的原因是持有住房的家庭认为房价的上涨可以为家庭提供更多的保障,使其免受未来可能出现的经济风险的影响,从而挤占了非消费支出。
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