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HOUSING PRICE, FAMILY STRUCTURES AND HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION: EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE OF TAIWAN 住房价格、家庭结构和家庭消费:台湾的经验证据
Pub Date : 2024-07-25 DOI: 10.3846/ijspm.2024.21675
Chih-Hsing Hung, Yen-Hung Chen, Chung-Chieh Cheng, Shyh-Weir Tzang
The housing price affects the allocation of family budget on consumption. We use regression analysis to confirm whether Taiwan’s housing prices have a significant influence on household consumption based on the questionnaire survey on household income and expenditure in 2018. We find that housing prices have the greatest impact on household consumption, possibly because housing accounts for the largest proportion of household assets, implying a significant wealth effect. In addition, the impact of interest of deposit on consumption is also found to be greater than that of household income as it is related to the level of total assets. The housing prices for single-person household with female gender have a negative and significant impact on household consumption. Finally, housing prices are found to have a significantly negative effect on non-consumption and current transfer expenditure. The possible reason is that the households who hold the house believe that the appreciation of housing price can provide more protection for the family from suffering from possible economic risks in the future and thus crowd out non-consumption expenditures.
房价影响家庭预算在消费上的分配。我们以2018年家庭收支问卷调查为基础,运用回归分析确认台湾房价是否对家庭消费有显著影响。我们发现,房价对家庭消费的影响最大,这可能是因为住房在家庭资产中占比最大,意味着财富效应显著。此外,我们还发现存款利息对消费的影响也大于家庭收入,因为它与总资产水平有关。女性单人家庭的住房价格对家庭消费有显著的负面影响。最后,住房价格对非消费和经常性转移支出有显著的负面影响。可能的原因是持有住房的家庭认为房价的上涨可以为家庭提供更多的保障,使其免受未来可能出现的经济风险的影响,从而挤占了非消费支出。
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引用次数: 0
INCENTIVE MECHANISMS OF AN EXPERIMENTAL RESOURCE-SHARING PLATFORM CONSIDERING REPUTATION EFFECTS FOR MEGAPROJECTS 考虑到特大项目声誉效应的实验性资源共享平台的激励机制
Pub Date : 2024-06-12 DOI: 10.3846/ijspm.2024.21557
Yuying Wang, Guohua Zhou
Participating in megaproject experimental tasks would significantly improve the laboratories’ industry influence and future competitiveness. Thus, this paper introduces the long-term reputation effects of the incentive model of an experimental resource-sharing platform for megaprojects, which could motivate them to consider future benefits and improve their current efforts. The aim is to incentivize laboratories’ resource-sharing behavior more effectively and to increase the amount of resources shared by these laboratories on the platform, thus guaranteeing the long-term sustainability of the platform. It constructs the incentive model by combining dual implicit and explicit incentive mechanisms. It analyses the incentive mechanism of a reputation effect on laboratories compared with the pure explicit mechanism so that the primary conditions for reputation incentives can be obtained to achieve Pareto improvement. Finally, the proposed method is validated in combination with data simulation. The results show that although dual implicit and explicit incentive mechanisms could reduce the information asymmetry between the two sides and increase the efforts of laboratories and the benefits of the platform, the platform should not blindly increase the intensity of these incentives and need to consider the influence of the subsidies of these laboratories’ upfront inputs, the degree of sharing and their informatization capabilities.
参与特大项目实验任务将极大地提高实验室的行业影响力和未来竞争力。因此,本文介绍了特大项目实验资源共享平台激励模式的长期声誉效应,可以激励实验室考虑未来利益,改进当前工作。其目的是更有效地激励实验室的资源共享行为,增加这些实验室在平台上的资源共享量,从而保证平台的长期可持续性。该研究结合隐性和显性双重激励机制,构建了激励模型。与纯显性机制相比,分析了声誉效应对实验室的激励机制,从而获得声誉激励的首要条件,实现帕累托改进。最后,结合数据模拟对提出的方法进行了验证。结果表明,虽然隐性和显性双重激励机制可以减少双方的信息不对称,提高实验室的努力程度和平台的收益,但平台不应盲目加大这些激励的力度,需要考虑这些实验室的前期投入补贴、共享程度及其信息化能力的影响。
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引用次数: 0
REAL ESTATE BROKERAGE AND ENDOWMENT EFFECTS IN THE HOUSING MARKET: EVIDENCE FROM POLAND 房地产经纪与住房市场的禀赋效应:波兰的证据
Pub Date : 2024-05-17 DOI: 10.3846/ijspm.2024.21456
M. Tomal
In the housing market, the prices sellers would be willing to accept to sell their properties exceed the prices buyers would be willing to pay for them. Behavioural economics postulates that this discrepancy is due to the endowment effect, which is a cognitive bias that causes the overvaluation of the goods we own. However, the existing literature lacks theoretical considerations and empirical evidence on the impact of the use of real estate agents by parties to transactions on the endowment effect in the housing market. Therefore, this study aims to assess the influence of real estate brokerage on the endowment effect using the example of the Polish residential market. To achieve the purpose of this study, a lab-in-the-field experiment was conducted with 248 respondents divided into sellers and buyers. The results indicate that the participation of real estate agents during transactions does not lead to the weakening or elimination of the endowment effect but, in some cases, to its intensification, which is due to the framing by buyers and sellers of the commission charged by agents as a loss requiring compensation. This research confirms the inefficiency of commission-based real estate brokerage services and points to possible corrective actions for legislators.
在住房市场上,卖方愿意接受的房产出售价格超过了买方愿意支付的价格。行为经济学推测,这种差异是由于禀赋效应造成的,而禀赋效应是一种认知偏差,会导致对我们所拥有的商品估值过高。然而,现有文献缺乏关于交易各方使用房地产中介对住房市场禀赋效应影响的理论考虑和经验证据。因此,本研究旨在以波兰住宅市场为例,评估房地产中介对禀赋效应的影响。为了实现本研究的目的,我们对 248 名受访者进行了 "实验室-实地 "实验,受访者分为卖方和买方。结果表明,房地产中介在交易过程中的参与不仅没有削弱或消除禀赋效应,反而在某些情况下加剧了禀赋效应,这是由于买卖双方将中介收取的佣金视为需要补偿的损失。这项研究证实了以佣金为基础的房地产中介服务效率低下,并为立法者指出了可能的纠正措施。
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引用次数: 0
LAND SUPPLY MARKETIZATION, ECONOMIC FLUCTUATIONS AND WELFARE: A QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS FOR CHINA 土地供应市场化、经济波动与福利:中国的定量分析
Pub Date : 2024-05-17 DOI: 10.3846/ijspm.2024.21457
Yiyao He, Mengyuan Wu, Haiwei Jiang
Land supply in China is planned by governments, and the supply ratios of various types of land are in relatively rigid administrative control. This paper constructs a DSGE model to study the relationship between land supply marketization in China and economic fluctuations. Moreover, this paper evaluates the social welfare gains from land marketization. We document that the government’s land planning constraint impacts consumption and social welfare through the land price and final output, causing resource misallocation losses in aggregate investment and output. Quantitatively, the optimal upper limit of industrial land supply is about 40% to achieve the maximum social welfare. This paper stresses the necessity of revitalizing China’s land market, and simultaneously speeding up the marketization of collectively operated construction land.
中国的土地供应由政府统一规划,各类土地的供应比例受到相对严格的行政控制。本文构建了一个 DSGE 模型来研究中国土地供应市场化与经济波动之间的关系。此外,本文还评估了土地市场化带来的社会福利收益。我们发现,政府的土地规划约束会通过土地价格和最终产出影响消费和社会福利,造成总投资和产出的资源配置失误损失。从数量上看,工业用地供应的最优上限约为 40%,以实现最大的社会福利。本文强调,必须搞活中国的土地市场,同时加快集体经营性建设用地的市场化进程。
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引用次数: 0
EXTRACTING AND PRIORITIZING THE ATTRACTIVENESS PARAMETERS OF SHOPPING CENTERS UNDER INTUITIONISTIC FUZZY NUMBERS 直观模糊数下购物中心吸引力参数的提取与优先排序
Pub Date : 2024-05-13 DOI: 10.3846/ijspm.2024.21376
Alireza Bakhshizadeh, Abdolreza Yazdani-Chamzini, Masoumeh Latifi Benmaran, Jonas Šaparauskas, Zenonas Turskis
Shopping center plays an important role in distribution system and marketing. These canters provide an appropriate atmosphere for customers; so that, the customers achieve the best service within a short time. However, there is an intense competition among shopping centers to attract more customers for increasing the profit. Therefore, a powerful model assists authorities in identifying the critical competitive aspects and directing their efforts toward performance improvement. However, a number of strategies have been developed to identify the most relevant components. The Delphi technique under intuitionistic fuzzy environment, called intuitionistic fuzzy Delphi method (IFDM) study, is a group-based technique that can simply formulate the uncertainty imposed by decision making circle. On the other hand, multi criteria decision making (MCDM) method such as analytical network process (ANP) is a mathematical tool for taking into account mutual relationships in order to rank a number of criteria. Nonetheless, the ANP is unable to account for the uncertainty involved in the decision-making process. Similarly, the intuitionistic fuzzy set (IFS) can express ambiguity and vagueness by utilizing the given scale. Because the IFS is robust in dealing with complexity and ambiguity, the IFS-GANP (an integrated model of the IFS and ANP methods under group decision) can result in a more specific description of the situation. As a result, the IFS-GANP approach outperforms both conventional ANP and fuzzy ANP. To demonstrate the model’s feasibility, a case study rating the essential aspects impacting the attractiveness of retail centers is shown. The result demonstrates factor C31 (Location) with value of 0.202 plays the greatest role in attracting customers.
购物中心在分销系统和营销方面发挥着重要作用。这些购物中心为顾客提供适宜的氛围,使顾客在短时间内获得最佳服务。然而,为了吸引更多顾客以增加利润,购物中心之间的竞争十分激烈。因此,一个功能强大的模型可以帮助有关部门确定关键的竞争方面,并引导其努力提高业绩。然而,为了确定最相关的组成部分,已经开发出了许多策略。直觉模糊环境下的德尔菲技术,即直觉模糊德尔菲法(IFDM)研究,是一种基于群体的技术,可以简单地表述决策圈施加的不确定性。另一方面,多标准决策(MCDM)方法,如分析网络过程(ANP),是一种考虑相互关系的数学工具,用于对多个标准进行排序。然而,ANP 无法解释决策过程中的不确定性。同样,直觉模糊集(IFS)可以利用给定的尺度来表达模糊性和不确定性。由于 IFS 在处理复杂性和模糊性方面非常稳健,因此 IFS-GANP(群体决策下 IFS 和 ANP 方法的集成模型)可以对情况进行更具体的描述。因此,IFS-GANP 方法优于传统 ANP 和模糊 ANP。为了证明该模型的可行性,我们展示了一个案例研究,对影响零售中心吸引力的重要因素进行了评级。结果表明,因子 C31(位置)的值为 0.202,在吸引顾客方面发挥了最大作用。
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引用次数: 0
A DYNAMIC PERFORMANCE-BASED PAYMENT MECHANISM FOR PUBLIC-PRIVATE PARTNERSHIP PROJECTS: AN INTEGRATED MODEL FOR PRINCIPAL-AGENT AND MULTI-OBJECTIVE OPTIMIZATION MODELS 公私合作项目的动态绩效支付机制:委托代理和多目标优化模型的综合模型
Pub Date : 2024-05-09 DOI: 10.3846/ijspm.2024.21183
Yongchao Cao, Huimin Li, Limin Su
Performance-based payment mechanism is one of the key issues to ensure all stakeholders’ benefits in infrastructure Public-Private Partnership (PPP) projects. However, most existing research on performance-based payment with a fixed incentive coefficient can’t play a good incentive role. This study aims to the intrinsic mechanism between the performance appraisal score and the performance-based payment structure, so as to design the dynamic performance-based payment mechanism for infrastructure PPP projects. Firstly, the multi-objective optimal method is used to calculate the unit-payment. Second, principal-agent theory is used to construct the performance-based payment model with a changeable incentive coefficient. The findings of this study show that, the performance-based payment mechanism can effectively motivate participants to provide high-quality and efficient services, because their remuneration directly depends on their performance. When the outcome does not meet expectations, the amount paid can be adjusted accordingly, thus ensuring the maximum protection of public resources as well as the private sector’s profits. They serve a dual purpose, on one hand, they offer insights to rectify the shortcomings in the current unsatisfactory payment structure. On the other hand, the study provides a theoretical reference for the public sector to effectively incentivize the private sector in enhancing project performance.
基于绩效的支付机制是确保基础设施公私合作(PPP)项目中所有利益相关者利益的关键问题之一。然而,现有的绩效支付研究大多采用固定的激励系数,无法发挥良好的激励作用。本研究旨在研究绩效考核得分与绩效付费结构之间的内在机理,从而设计基础设施 PPP 项目的动态绩效付费机制。首先,采用多目标最优法计算单位付费。其次,运用委托代理理论构建激励系数可变的绩效付费模型。研究结果表明,基于绩效的付费机制能有效激励参与者提供优质高效的服务,因为他们的报酬直接取决于他们的绩效。当结果与预期不符时,可相应调整支付金额,从而确保公共资源和私营部门利润得到最大程度的保护。这些研究具有双重目的,一方面,它们为纠正目前不尽人意的薪酬结构中的不足之处提供了启示。另一方面,该研究为公共部门有效激励私营部门提高项目绩效提供了理论参考。
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引用次数: 0
ANALYZING THE UNDERLYING RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN MONETARY POLICY AND RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY PRICES IN CHINA 分析中国货币政策与住宅物业价格之间的内在关系
Pub Date : 2023-12-28 DOI: 10.3846/ijspm.2023.20662
Qihao Zhou, Muhammad Safdar Sial, Susana Álvarez-Otero, Asma Salman, Wei Liu
Policymakers and the public express concern regarding the volatility of housing prices due to its potential to increase consumer costs and negatively impact housing affordability. Based on empirical study, it has been seen that the expansion of the real estate sector has a significant impact on the investment in fixed assets by firms. This influence is mostly attributed to the alteration of the transmission of monetary policy. Real estate investment is considered a feasible option because of the significant and rapid appreciation in property prices. The primary objective of this study is to examine the influence of monetary policy on the housing market in China. To conduct the current study, macroeconomic data from a total of 44 time periods, ranging from the fourth quarter of 2012 to the fourth quarter of 2022, was collected. The findings of our study indicate that in the context of China, an expansion in the money supply has a greater propensity to positively influence the borrowing activities of real estate suppliers and clients, as opposed to the supply of properties themselves. The housing market can be influenced by governmental actions such as adjustments to the money supply and interest rates. While scholars have extensively examined the subject matter, the housing market in China remains relatively under-researched in terms of its susceptibility to government macroeconomic policies. Moreover, the current study offers a comprehensive overview of the prevailing challenges encountered by the residential property market in China, emphasizing the significance of macroeconomic policies within this particular context.
政策制定者和公众对房价波动表示担忧,因为这可能会增加消费成本,并对住房负担能力产生负面影响。实证研究表明,房地产行业的扩张对企业的固定资产投资有重大影响。这种影响主要归因于货币政策传导的改变。房地产投资被认为是一种可行的选择,因为房地产价格大幅快速上涨。本研究的主要目的是探讨货币政策对中国房地产市场的影响。为了开展本研究,我们收集了从 2012 年第四季度到 2022 年第四季度共 44 个时间段的宏观经济数据。我们的研究结果表明,在中国,相对于房地产本身的供应,货币供应的扩张更倾向于对房地产供应商和客户的借贷活动产生积极影响。调整货币供应量和利率等政府行为会对房地产市场产生影响。尽管学者们已经对这一主题进行了广泛研究,但对中国房地产市场易受政府宏观经济政策影响的研究仍相对不足。此外,本研究全面概述了中国住宅房地产市场当前面临的挑战,强调了宏观经济政策在这一特定背景下的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
PATH SELECTION OF SPATIAL ECONOMETRIC MODEL FOR MASS APPRAISAL OF REAL ESTATE: EVIDENCE FROM YINCHUAN, CHINA 用于大规模房地产评估的空间计量经济学模型的路径选择:来自中国银川的证据
Pub Date : 2023-11-27 DOI: 10.3846/ijspm.2023.20376
Yu Zhao, Xuejia Shen, Jian Ma, Miao Yu
Urbanization, national economic growth, and China’s changing population structure have elevated the importance of real estate assessment in various contexts, including mortgage financing, secondary housing market transactions, and real estate tax reform. To address this need, this study employs a time-spatial double-fixed spatial cross-section data model as a mass appraisal tool to analyze the transaction price data of 429 ordinary residential houses in Xixia District, Yinchuan, China on April 1, 2022. Specifically, this study analyzes 7 spatial cross-section data models, discerning their interconnections. It devises an assignment technique that merges distance and characteristic variable rank into a unified indicator. The results explore spatial lag effects in real estate transaction price generation and assess the descriptive capabilities of different spatial cross-section data models.
城市化进程、国民经济增长和中国人口结构的变化提升了房地产评估在抵押融资、二手房市场交易和房地产税费改革等各种背景下的重要性。针对这一需求,本研究采用时间空间双固定空间横截面数据模型作为大规模评估工具,分析了 2022 年 4 月 1 日银川市西夏区 429 套普通住宅的交易价格数据。具体而言,本研究分析了 7 个空间截面数据模型,并辨析了它们之间的内在联系。它设计了一种赋权技术,将距离和特征变量等级合并为一个统一的指标。研究结果探讨了房地产交易价格产生的空间滞后效应,并评估了不同空间截面数据模型的描述能力。
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引用次数: 0
PRICE CHANGES OF REPEAT-SALES HOUSES IN KAOHSIUNG CITY: ANALYSES BASED ON HIERARCHICAL LINEAR GROWTH MODELS 高雄市重复销售房屋的价格变化:基于层次线性增长模型的分析
Pub Date : 2023-11-23 DOI: 10.3846/ijspm.2023.19935
Chun-Chang Lee, Yu-Chen Wang, Chih-Min Liang, Zheng Yu
This study adopts the hierarchical linear growth modeling approach to analyze the differences in the changes of repeat-sales house prices in Kaohsiung City from 2012 to 2020. The Level 1 time-varying factors include house age and the time of repeat-sales; the Level 2 factors include house attributes such as house area, house type, and house location. Based on the results of the null model, the estimated variance is 0.42816, with a 1% level of significance. This shows that significant differences exist in the mean repeat-sales prices between houses. The interclass correlation coefficient is 91.65%, showing that the interclass variation and intraclass variation of the mean repeat-sales prices are 91.65% and 8.35%, respectively. The estimation results of the non-randomly varying slope model indicate that the sales time and sales time squared significantly affect repeat-sales prices. The annual growth rate and quadratic growth of sales prices do not differ by house type (luxury condominiums and apartment buildings) but are affected by house area and house location. The effect of house age on repeat-sales prices is moderated by house area, house type, and house location.
本研究采用层次线性增长模型方法,分析高雄市 2012 年至 2020 年重复销售房价的变化差异。一级时变因素包括房龄和重复销售时间;二级因素包括房屋面积、房屋类型和房屋位置等房屋属性。根据空模型的结果,估计方差为 0.42816,显著性水平为 1%。这表明,不同房屋的平均重复销售价格存在明显差异。类间相关系数为 91.65%,表明平均重复销售价格的类间差异和类内差异分别为 91.65%和 8.35%。非随机变化斜率模型的估计结果表明,销售时间和销售时间平方对重复销售价格有显著影响。不同房屋类型(豪华公寓和公寓楼)的销售价格年增长率和二次增长率没有差异,但受到房屋面积和房屋位置的影响。房龄对重复销售价格的影响受房屋面积、房屋类型和房屋位置的调节。
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引用次数: 0
EFFICIENCY AND CHALLENGES IN PUBLIC REAL ESTATE MANAGEMENT: INSIGHTS FROM LITHUANIA 公共房地产管理的效率与挑战:立陶宛的启示
Pub Date : 2023-11-17 DOI: 10.3846/ijspm.2023.20362
Viktorija Cohen, Evelina Bereznauskė, Arūnas Burinskas, Saulius Raslanas
Public real estate is considered an integral part of national wealth. It generates a wide range of economic activities that contribute to creating and providing common public goods. This study examines the efficiency of public real estate management in Lithuania. Our findings show that public property use, disposal, and management strongly depend on the managerial approach. We apply data envelopment analysis (DEA) in addition to the income value, regression, and correlation methods. We find that there are certain biases present due to the exclusion of some state-owned properties from the public register. Furthermore, we identify the need for greater precision in the indicators used for financial reporting of state-owned assets. The excessive number of vacant asset units poses a challenge, as it requires substantial maintenance expenditures. Moreover, the appraisal of alternative use of these assets is lacking, thereby limiting the potential for maximizing public benefits. Our analysis reveals that the rental price per 1 m2 and the residual value of the leased premises are the most critical determinants influencing the management efficiency of publicly owned property. Furthermore, it is evident that the residential property is the only type of state-owned property managed efficiently within the Lithuanian public sector. These findings underscore the importance of formation of robust public real estate policies.
公共房地产被视为国家财富不可分割的一部分。它产生了广泛的经济活动,有助于创造和提供共同的公共产品。本研究考察了立陶宛公共房地产管理的效率。我们的研究结果表明,公共财产的使用、处置和管理在很大程度上取决于管理方法。除收入值、回归和相关方法外,我们还采用了数据包络分析法(DEA)。我们发现,由于一些国有财产未被列入公共登记册,因此存在一定的偏差。此外,我们还发现国有资产财务报告中使用的指标需要更加精确。空置资产单位数量过多是一个挑战,因为这需要大量的维护费用。此外,缺乏对这些资产替代用途的评估,从而限制了公共利益最大化的潜力。我们的分析表明,每 1 平方米的租金价格和租赁房舍的剩余价值是影响公有财产管理效率的最关键决定因素。此外,在立陶宛公共部门中,住宅物业显然是唯一一种管理效率较高的国有物业。这些发现强调了制定强有力的公共房地产政策的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
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International Journal of Strategic Property Management
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