{"title":"WELFARE ANALYSIS VIA MARGINAL TREATMENT EFFECTS","authors":"Yuya Sasaki, Takuya Ura","doi":"10.1017/s0266466624000227","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>We consider a causal structure with endogeneity, i.e., unobserved confoundedness, where an instrumental variable is available. In this setting, we show that the mean social welfare function can be identified and represented via the marginal treatment effect as the operator kernel. This representation result can be applied to a variety of statistical decision rules for treatment choice, including plug-in rules, Bayes rules, and empirical welfare maximization rules. Focusing on the application of the empirical welfare maximization framework, we provide convergence rates of the worst-case average welfare loss (regret).</p>","PeriodicalId":49275,"journal":{"name":"Econometric Theory","volume":"36 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.0000,"publicationDate":"2024-09-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Econometric Theory","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1017/s0266466624000227","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
We consider a causal structure with endogeneity, i.e., unobserved confoundedness, where an instrumental variable is available. In this setting, we show that the mean social welfare function can be identified and represented via the marginal treatment effect as the operator kernel. This representation result can be applied to a variety of statistical decision rules for treatment choice, including plug-in rules, Bayes rules, and empirical welfare maximization rules. Focusing on the application of the empirical welfare maximization framework, we provide convergence rates of the worst-case average welfare loss (regret).
Econometric TheoryMATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS-STATISTICS & PROBABILITY
CiteScore
1.90
自引率
0.00%
发文量
52
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍：
Since its inception, Econometric Theory has aimed to endow econometrics with an innovative journal dedicated to advance theoretical research in econometrics. It provides a centralized professional outlet for original theoretical contributions in all of the major areas of econometrics, and all fields of research in econometric theory fall within the scope of ET. In addition, ET fosters the multidisciplinary features of econometrics that extend beyond economics. Particularly welcome are articles that promote original econometric research in relation to mathematical finance, stochastic processes, statistics, and probability theory, as well as computationally intensive areas of economics such as modern industrial organization and dynamic macroeconomics.
京公网安备 11010802042870号
京ICP备2023020795号-1
分享
求助内容：
应助结果提醒方式：
扫码关注我们
