Can rail reduce British aviation emissions?

IF 7.3 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment Pub Date : 2024-11-29 DOI:10.1016/j.trd.2024.104513
Malcolm Morgan , Zia Wadud , Sally Cairns
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Abstract

We analyse UK airport origin–destination data from 1990 to 2021 to understand the extent to which a modal shift to rail may reduce aviation emissions. We find that 41 % of UK aviation passengers travel on routes that can be done by rail in less than 24 h. However, these passengers account for only 14 % of UK aviation emissions because long-haul flights contribute the majority of emissions. Some popular destinations (e.g. Spanish Islands) are inaccessible by rail and may be suitable for destination switching. We also find rapid growth in flights to international hub airports used for connecting journeys. This has implications for carbon accounting, suggesting that a significant and growing proportion of UK residents’ aviation emissions are being excluded from national accounts. Finally, the paper recommends some interventions that might encourage a modal shift to rail.

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铁路能减少英国航空业的排放吗?
我们分析了1990年至2021年的英国机场始发目的地数据,以了解向铁路运输模式转变可能在多大程度上减少航空排放。我们发现,41%的英国航空乘客乘坐的航线可以在24小时内通过铁路完成。然而,这些乘客只占英国航空排放量的14%,因为长途航班贡献了大部分排放量。一些受欢迎的目的地(如西班牙群岛)无法通过铁路到达,可能适合目的地转换。我们还发现,用于转机的国际枢纽机场的航班增长迅速。这对碳核算产生了影响,表明英国居民的航空排放中有相当大且不断增长的比例被排除在国民核算之外。最后,本文建议采取一些干预措施,鼓励人们转向铁路运输。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
14.40
自引率
9.20%
发文量
314
审稿时长
39 days
期刊介绍: Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment focuses on original research exploring the environmental impacts of transportation, policy responses to these impacts, and their implications for transportation system design, planning, and management. The journal comprehensively covers the interaction between transportation and the environment, ranging from local effects on specific geographical areas to global implications such as natural resource depletion and atmospheric pollution. We welcome research papers across all transportation modes, including maritime, air, and land transportation, assessing their environmental impacts broadly. Papers addressing both mobile aspects and transportation infrastructure are considered. The journal prioritizes empirical findings and policy responses of regulatory, planning, technical, or fiscal nature. Articles are policy-driven, accessible, and applicable to readers from diverse disciplines, emphasizing relevance and practicality. We encourage interdisciplinary submissions and welcome contributions from economically developing and advanced countries alike, reflecting our international orientation.
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