{"title":"Financial development and growth volatility revisited","authors":"Philipp Struthmann","doi":"10.1016/j.frl.2025.107175","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper examines the relationship between financial development and macroeconomic growth volatility. Using data from 104 countries over the period 1980–2023 and employing endogeneity-robust estimation techniques, we find that financial intermediation, along with access, depth, and efficiency of financial institutions and markets, generally reduces growth volatility in the long run. However, this effect is non-monotonic, implying that too much finance might actually exacerbate growth volatility. Furthermore, we show that the relationship between financial development and growth volatility has weakened over time and that there is no significant association between finance and growth volatility in the short run.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":12167,"journal":{"name":"Finance Research Letters","volume":"78 ","pages":"Article 107175"},"PeriodicalIF":7.4000,"publicationDate":"2025-03-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Finance Research Letters","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1544612325004386","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
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Abstract
This paper examines the relationship between financial development and macroeconomic growth volatility. Using data from 104 countries over the period 1980–2023 and employing endogeneity-robust estimation techniques, we find that financial intermediation, along with access, depth, and efficiency of financial institutions and markets, generally reduces growth volatility in the long run. However, this effect is non-monotonic, implying that too much finance might actually exacerbate growth volatility. Furthermore, we show that the relationship between financial development and growth volatility has weakened over time and that there is no significant association between finance and growth volatility in the short run.
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Finance Research Letters welcomes submissions across all areas of finance, aiming for rapid publication of significant new findings. The journal particularly encourages papers that provide insight into the replicability of established results, examine the cross-national applicability of previous findings, challenge existing methodologies, or demonstrate methodological contingencies.
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