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{"title":"Significantly higher death toll along with COVID-19 mortality than influenza have been reduced by vaccination and restrictions","authors":"P. Rieske","doi":"10.5114/pja.2023.125766","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The article demonstrates estimated data of influenza and COVID-19 morbidity and infection fatality rate (IFR) mortality in the context of restrictions and vaccination (years 2020-2021 mostly developed countries). A division into two age groups was included: Up to 65 years of age and over 65 years of age. Influenza mortality (IFR) did not change between 2020 and 2021 and was about 0.05% among all, and 0.005 among those under 65 years of age. IFR COVID-19 was on average approx. 0.5% overall, and in groups under 65 years of age a minimum of 0.07%. COVID-19 morbidity varied greatly from about 50/100,000 in Japan to 600/100,000 in Peru during 2020 plus 2021. In the United States and Poland, about 250 per 100 thousand in 2 years. The morbidity rate of COVID-19 in lower risk groups was 70/100 thousand in the United States. The pre-2020 flu morbidity rate in the United States ranged from 1-10 per 100,000 per season. In the 2020/21 season, it decreased to 1/100 thousand. In groups 65 age old and younger, influenza morbidity in the United States was about 0.3 per 100,000 in the 2020/2021 season, and in typical seasons 0.3 to 3/100,000. Examples of absolute numbers. In the United States, in 2021, COVID-19 471,000 victims (a year of available vaccinations). Influenza season 2021 max. 4,500 victims. The average flu season in unrestricted seasons, was about 25,000 victims. Predictions of the consequenc-es of the lack of restrictions and vaccinations are theoretical, because the preliminary ones talk about 2-3 million COVID-19 victims and even more than ten million additional hospitalizations in the United States, which may mean the collapse of the health system, and thus in practice a greater number of victims. The data presented did not result from diagnostic errors. A proper epidemic assessment confirms the effectiveness of vaccination and targeted therapy. COVID-19 vaccination reduced IFR mortality by about 10-fold.Copyright © 2023, Termedia Publishing House Ltd.. All rights reserved.","PeriodicalId":7469,"journal":{"name":"Alergologia Polska - Polish Journal of Allergology","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.2000,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Alergologia Polska - Polish Journal of Allergology","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.5114/pja.2023.125766","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"ALLERGY","Score":null,"Total":0}
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通过接种疫苗和限制措施,COVID-19的死亡人数和死亡率明显高于流感
本文展示了在限制和接种疫苗的背景下(2020-2021年,主要是发达国家)流感和COVID-19发病率和感染死亡率(IFR)死亡率的估计数据。其中包括两个年龄组:65岁以下和65岁以上。流感死亡率(IFR)在2020年至2021年间没有变化,在所有人中约为0.05%,在65岁以下人群中为0.005%。IFR - COVID-19平均约为。总体为0.5%,65岁以下年龄组至少为0.07%。2020年和2021年期间,COVID-19的发病率差异很大,从日本的约50/10万到秘鲁的600/10万。在美国和波兰,两年内每10万人中就有25人死亡。美国低危人群新冠肺炎发病率为70/10万。2020年之前,美国的流感发病率为每10万人中有1-10人。在2020/21赛季,这一比例降至十万分之一。在65岁及65岁以下的人群中,美国2020/2021季节的流感发病率约为0.3 /10万,在典型季节为0.3至3/10万。绝对数字的例子。在美国,2021年COVID-19的受害者为47.1万人(一年可用的疫苗接种)。2021年流感季最严重。4500受害者。在不受限制的流感季节,平均约有2.5万名受害者。对缺乏限制和疫苗接种的后果的预测是理论上的,因为初步的预测说,美国将有200万至300万名COVID-19受害者,甚至超过1000万名额外的住院治疗,这可能意味着卫生系统的崩溃,因此实际上会有更多的受害者。所提供的数据不是由诊断错误引起的。适当的流行病评估证实了疫苗接种和靶向治疗的有效性。COVID-19疫苗接种将IFR死亡率降低了约10倍。版权所有©Termedia出版社有限公司版权所有。
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