Stabilitas Beta Indeks JII70 di Bursa Saham Indonesia Pada Pandemi Covid-19

Andrew Reinhard Marulak Togatorop, Annisa Indira Larashati Bahari
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Abstract

COVID-19 pandemic attack all of Indonesia’s economic sectors, including stock market. One of the impacted were stocks that listed in JII70, which were index in Indonesia’s Stock Exchange that under the basis of sharia. To evaluate JII70 in handling pandemic, risk evaluation can be done, evaluation method that can be used is Rolling Beta. Beta show sensitivity of return that portfolio had against whole stock market performance. Rolling Beta itself is beta value that calculated in loop using Regression, in designated interval time, to make time series trend. Data were taken from JII70 and IHSG closing value, from May 2018–September 2022. Preliminary data analysis, using Augmented Dickey Fuller test show that JII70 and IHSG stationary before and during pandemic. Furthermore, beta analysis shows that JII70 has beta value at range 1,1–1,3 in 2018 before pandemic. However, after pandemic hit, JII70 beta value dropped, but can be maintained in 0,8–1,1. This showcase COVID-19 huge impact to Indonesia’s stock, including sharia stock, however, JII70 can rebound and maintain stable performance after pandemic going on.
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COVID-19大流行袭击了印度尼西亚的所有经济部门,包括股市。受影响的股票之一是在JII70中上市的股票,JII70是印度尼西亚证券交易所以伊斯兰教为基础的指数。评估JII70应对大流行的能力,可以进行风险评估,可采用滚动Beta评估方法。贝塔表示投资组合的回报对整个股市表现的敏感性。滚动贝塔本身就是在指定的时间间隔内,用回归法在循环中计算出的贝塔值,使时间序列呈现趋势。数据取自2018年5月至2022年9月的JII70和IHSG收盘价。使用增强迪基-富勒检验的初步数据分析显示,JII70和IHSG在大流行之前和期间是稳定的。此外,beta分析显示,2018年大流行前JII70的beta值在1,1,1,3范围内。但大流行来袭后,JII70 beta值有所下降,但能维持在0,8 - 1,1之间。这显示了COVID-19对印度尼西亚股市的巨大影响,包括伊斯兰教股票,但JII70可以在大流行之后反弹并保持稳定的表现。
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