)Is the Contribution of Fundamental Analysis Affected by the Firms’ Income Smoothing?

Yongsuk Yun, Jaeyon Chu
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Abstract

This paper examines whether the types of firms’ income smoothing influences the usefulness of fundamental analysis in Korea. As prior literature points out that the fundamental signals have predictive power for future earnings and also argue that fundamental signals are complements of current earnings when the earnings value lose value relevance. In this paper, we examine whether the fundamental signals have predictive power in Korea and also its information content is more useful when earnings lose its predictive power. We divide our sample as the firms engaging in income smoothing for disseminating information to the investors or for getting manager’s own benefits. Consistent with our hypothesis, we find that fundamental signals have predictive power and also we find that fundamental signals’ information content is strengthened when the earnings predictability is decreased. These findings suggest that fundamental signals are complementing current earnings changes.
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)基本分析的贡献是否受到企业收益平滑的影响?
本文考察了韩国企业收入平滑的类型是否会影响基本分析的有效性。正如先前文献所指出的,基本信号对未来收益具有预测能力,并认为当收益价值失去价值相关性时,基本信号是当前收益的补充。在本文中,我们检验了韩国的基本信号是否具有预测能力,以及当盈余失去预测能力时,其信息内容是否更有用。我们将样本划分为为了向投资者传播信息或为了获得管理者自身利益而进行收入平滑的公司。与我们的假设一致,我们发现基本信号具有预测能力,并且当盈余可预测性降低时,基本信号的信息含量会增强。这些发现表明,基本面信号正在补充当前的盈利变化。
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