THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 OUTBREAK ON CHINA SECTORAL INDICES IN SHORT AND MEDIUM RUN

Muhammad Asif Khan, Muhammad Siddiq, Asima Siddique
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

The novel coronavirus COVID-19 has severe consequences for countries around the globe. The purpose of this study to find out the impact of COVID-19 on China’s sectoral indices in the short and medium run. This research investigates the impact of COVID-19 on stock exchange index, exchange rates, money lending, and oil prices in the Chinese economy in the short and medium run by using secondary data of different sectoral sectors. The outcomes show that COVID-19 has strongly influenced these sectors. The Shanghai stock exchange is showing a decline in transactions due to this pandemic in the short run. But in the medium run, the outcome shown that Shanghai stock exchange has upward trend. The pandemic has reduced exchange rate of Chinese RMB to US dollar in short-run, but in medium run, Chinese RMB has gained appreciation against US dollar. The money lending for medium enterprises is showing downward curve. Result shows that money lending rate has reduced from 3.25% to 3.10% in the short-run and 2.95% in medium run. Overall, pandemic has had significant influence on the Chinese economy and development.
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新冠肺炎疫情对中国中短期行业指标的影响
新型冠状病毒COVID-19给世界各国带来了严重后果。本研究的目的是找出新冠肺炎疫情对中国短期和中期行业指数的影响。本研究利用不同行业部门的二次数据,考察了新冠肺炎疫情对中国经济中短期股指、汇率、借贷和油价的影响。结果表明,COVID-19对这些部门产生了强烈影响。受新冠疫情影响,上海证券交易所的交易量在短期内呈现下降趋势。但在中期,结果显示上海证券交易所有上升趋势。疫情短期内压低了人民币对美元汇率,但中期来看,人民币对美元升值。中小企业贷款呈下降趋势。结果表明,短期贷款利率从3.25%降至3.10%,中期降至2.95%。总的来说,疫情对中国经济和发展产生了重大影响。
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