Covid 19’s Impact on Stocks'Relative Risks

Haoran Chu
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Abstract

To understand the impact of the pandemic on different stocks ‘relative risks, we analyze the stock market by comparing pre-covid and post-covid statistics. By using the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) [1] to fit our data, our result shows interesting trends on both individual and industry levels. There are three significant implications of the result of our research: 1)The R-Square of most stocks’ increased after the outbreak of Covid; 2)The consumer staples, real estate, and utilities sectors experienced a much more significant increase in R-square than other sectors; 3)Companies with stocks with a more significant decrease in their CAPM's β factor are less negatively influenced by COVID-19, and companies with stocks with a more significant increase in their CAPM's β factor are in the utilities and real estate sectors.
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2019冠状病毒病对股票相对风险的影响
为了了解疫情对不同股票相对风险的影响,我们通过比较疫情前和疫情后的统计数据来分析股市。通过使用资本资产定价模型(CAPM)来拟合我们的数据,我们的结果显示了个人和行业层面的有趣趋势。我们的研究结果有三个重要意义:1)疫情爆发后,大多数股票的r平方增加;2)必需消费品、房地产和公用事业行业的r平方增长明显高于其他行业;3) CAPM β因子下降越显著的公司受新冠肺炎的负面影响越小,CAPM β因子上升越显著的公司为公用事业和房地产行业。
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