Determinants of Stock Price Volatility: A Literature Review

Ranil Hewamana, D. Siriwardhane, A. Rathnayake
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Abstract

Purpose: This paper reviews the theoretical background and the empirical results of the stock price volatility determinants under three categories: macroeconomic, company-specific fundamentals, and behavioral factors. Methodology: Previous empirical and theoretical articles on volatility determinants were compared to identify the similarities and differences of the findings. The systematic literature review followed to review the articles published in English between 1930 and 2021. Design: A critical literature review was performed by comparing the findings of previous studies based on the development status of the market. We discuss determinants of stock price volatility. Determinants include behavioral (non-fundamental) factors and macro-economic factors such as GDP, Inflation, Interest Rate, Money Supply, and Exchange Rate. In addition to Earnings and Dividend Payments have been considered under company-specific fundamentals. Findings: It was found that there is no agreement between the studies on the macro-level and micro-level determinants of stock volatility. This empirical inconsistency is substantial in GDP, Inflation, Money Supply, Exchange Rate, Earnings, and Dividend Payments. The interest rate is the only determinant that shows moderate inconclusive empirical results. However, behavioral determinants appear to be significance consistency in determining the stock price volatility. Originality: This article reviews the theoretical and empirical background of stock volatility determinants since there is no single article for reviewing theoretical and empirical results. In a single paper, we provide evidence relating to the impact of macroeconomic, company-specific, and behavioral factors on stock price volatility. Research Directions – Future research is needed to examine the reason for empirical inconsistency in volatility determinants. A systematic literature review is essential.
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股票价格波动的决定因素:文献综述
目的:本文从宏观经济因素、公司特定基本面因素和行为因素三个方面综述了股价波动决定因素的理论背景和实证结果。方法:以前的经验和理论文章对波动率决定因素进行比较,以确定相似性和差异的发现。随后进行系统文献综述,回顾1930年至2021年间发表的英文文章。设计:根据市场发展现状,通过比较以往研究结果,进行批判性文献综述。我们讨论股票价格波动的决定因素。决定因素包括行为(非基本面)因素和宏观经济因素,如GDP、通货膨胀、利率、货币供应量和汇率。此外,收益和股息支付已被考虑在公司特定的基本面。研究发现:对股票波动的宏观和微观影响因素的研究结果并不一致。这种经验上的不一致在GDP、通货膨胀、货币供给、汇率、收益和股息支付方面都是实质性的。利率是唯一表现出适度不确定实证结果的决定因素。然而,行为决定因素在决定股价波动方面表现出显著性一致性。原创性:本文回顾了股票波动决定因素的理论和实证背景,因为没有单独的文章来回顾理论和实证结果。在一篇论文中,我们提供了有关宏观经济、公司特定因素和行为因素对股价波动影响的证据。研究方向-未来的研究需要检查波动率决定因素的经验不一致的原因。系统的文献综述是必要的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.10
自引率
11.10%
发文量
10
期刊介绍: The purpose of the Journal is to publish (in English language) peer-reviewed articles, reviews and scholarly comments on issues relating to contemporary global macroeconomics and public finance by which is understood: The Journal is for all professionals concerned with contemporary Macroeconomics and Public Finance and is a forum for all views on related subjects. The Editorial Board welcomes articles of current interest on research and application on the areas mentioned above. The Journal will be international in the sense that it seeks research papers from authors with an international reputation and articles that are of interest to an international audience. In pursuit of the above, the journal shall: a. draw on and include high quality work from the international community of scholars including those in the major countries of Asia, Europe, Asia Pacific, the United States, other parts of the Americas and elsewhere with due representation for considerations of the readership. The Journal shall include work representing the major areas of interest in contemporary research on Macroeconomics and Public Finance and on a wide range of issues covering macro- economics, tax and fiscal issues, banking and finance, international trade, labour economics, computational and mathematical methods, etc. The Journal would particularly engage papers on pure and applied economic theory and econometric methods. b. avoid bias in favour of the interests of particular schools or directions of research or particular political or narrow disciplinary objectives to the exclusion of others. c. ensure that articles are written in a terminology and style which makes them intelligible, not merely within the context of a particular discipline or abstract mode, but across the domain of relevant disciplines.
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