The Effect of Government Expenditure on Yam Yield in Nigeria

Alabi, Timileyin Victoria, O. A. Eyitayo, Alabi Reuben Adeolu
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Abstract

The broad objective of this study is the analysis of the long and short run effect of government expenditure on yam yield in Nigeria. The study applied descriptive statistics and autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) econometric approach to the secondary data collected from Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical Bulletin and FAOSTAT. The descriptive analysis shows that yam output was increasing in Nigeria with decreasing trend in yield. The result of the econometric analysis indicates that agricultural government expenditure does not have significant long and short-run effects on yam production and yield. This is because the real per capita agricultural government expenditure is small. The study concludes that although, agricultural government expenditure does not have significant long and short-run effects on yam production and yield, it is positively correlated with agricultural inputs used in yam production. Based on the findings from the study, various recommendations were made, which include the need to increase the share of agricultural public expenditure in total government expenditure in Nigeria, which stood at 2%, can be increased to 4% which is the average for Sub-Sahara Africa, while targeting 10% recommended in the Maputo Declaration.
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尼日利亚政府支出对山药产量的影响
本研究的主要目的是分析尼日利亚政府支出对山药产量的长期和短期影响。该研究采用描述性统计和自回归分布滞后(ARDL)计量经济学方法对从尼日利亚中央银行统计公报和粮农组织统计数据库收集的二手数据进行分析。描述性分析表明,尼日利亚山药产量呈上升趋势,但产量呈下降趋势。计量分析结果表明,农业政府支出对山药产量和单产的长期和短期影响均不显著。这是因为实际人均农业政府支出很小。研究表明,虽然农业政府支出对山药生产和产量没有显著的长期和短期影响,但与山药生产中使用的农业投入物呈正相关。根据这项研究的结果,提出了各种建议,其中包括需要增加农业公共支出在尼日利亚政府总支出中的份额,目前为2%,可以增加到4%,这是撒哈拉以南非洲的平均水平,而马普托宣言建议的目标是10%。
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