The Determinants of Chinese Foreign Aid: Case of Mozambique

S. Yoo, Taewoo Lim, Yiyeon Kim
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Abstract

The purpose of this study is to examine what factors China’s foreign aid allocation affected based on the case of Mozambique. Dreher et al.(2018), the most pioneering research on Chinese aid argue that China’s foreign policy interests determine its allocation of Official Development Assistance(ODA) flows and that economic considerations determine less concessional forms of official financing(Other Official Flows, OOF). However, existing studies examining the factors of aid allocation in Western donor countries show a mixture of factors such as donors’ interest and recipients’ development. This study argues that through the Mozambique case, China’s aid is also allocated by the interaction of various factors. Utilizing the Granger Causality test, we find that while ODA flows affect exports from China to Mozambique, exports do not cause ODA. In terms of OOF, the argument of Dreher et al.(2018) was not supported. OOF is not distributed according to economic purpose. Investigating aid to the agriculture, social infrastructure, health, and education sectors, this study shows that aid is distributed for different purposes depending the sector.
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中国对外援助的决定因素:以莫桑比克为例
本文以莫桑比克为例,探讨中国对外援助分配的影响因素。Dreher等人(2018)是对中国援助最具开创性的研究,他们认为中国的外交政策利益决定了其官方发展援助(ODA)流量的分配,经济考虑决定了不太优惠的官方融资形式(其他官方流量,OOF)。然而,审查西方捐助国援助分配因素的现有研究表明,诸如捐助者的兴趣和受援国的发展等因素混合在一起。本研究认为,通过莫桑比克案例,中国的援助也是通过各种因素的相互作用来分配的。利用格兰杰因果检验,我们发现虽然官方发展援助流量影响中国对莫桑比克的出口,但出口不影响官方发展援助。在OOF方面,Dreher et al.(2018)的论点没有得到支持。OOF不按经济目的分配。在调查对农业、社会基础设施、卫生和教育部门的援助后,这项研究表明,根据部门的不同,援助的分配目的不同。
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