基于对数正态随机波动模型的持续收入不平等贝叶斯估计

Haruhisa Nishino, Kazuhiko Kakamu, Takashi Oga
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引用次数: 3

摘要

我们估计不平等包括基尼系数使用对数正态参数模型的调查持续不平等。选择阶统计量的渐近理论使我们能够构造基于分组数据的线性模型。我们用随机波动(SV)模型将线性模型扩展为动态模型。利用日本的数据,我们用马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗(MCMC)方法估计了SV模型,并利用模型比较来选择最佳模型,结论是有SV的模型比没有SV的模型更适合数据。它表明了持续的不平等。
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Bayesian estimation of Persistent Income Inequality by Lognormal Stochastic Volatility Model
We estimate inequality including Gini coefficients using a lognormal parametric model for an investigation of persistent inequality. The asymptotic theory of selected order statistics enables us to construct a linear model based on grouped data. We extend the linear model to a dynamic model in terms of a stochastic volatility (SV) model. Using Japanese data we estimate the SV model by the Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method and exploit a model comparison to choose a best model, concluding that the model with SV is better fitted to the data than the model without SV. It indicates the persistent inequality.
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