基于卷积长短期记忆的多业务移动流量预测

Chaoyun Zhang, M. Fiore, P. Patras
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引用次数: 23

摘要

网络切片越来越多地用于在不同的移动业务之间划分网络基础设施。在这种情况下,精确的服务智能移动流量预测变得至关重要,因为移动运营商寻求提前将资源预先分配给每个分片,以满足各个服务的不同需求。本文利用序列到序列(S2S)学习范式和卷积长短期记忆(ConvL-STMs)研究了多业务移动流量预测问题。该架构旨在有效提取移动网络流量的复杂时空特征,高精度预测城市尺度下个性化业务的未来需求。我们在一个欧洲大城市收集的移动流量数据集上进行了实验,结果表明,所提出的S2S-ConvLSTM可以仅使用过去一小时内的测量数据,提前一小时预测数十种不同服务产生的移动流量。特别是,我们的解决方案在天线水平上实现了低于13KBps的平均绝对误差(MAE),比其他深度学习方法高出31.2%。
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Multi-Service Mobile Traffic Forecasting via Convolutional Long Short-Term Memories
Network slicing is increasingly used to partition network infrastructure between different mobile services. Precise service-wise mobile traffic forecasting becomes essential in this context, as mobile operators seek to pre-allocate resources to each slice in advance, to meet the distinct requirements of individual services. This paper attacks the problem of multi-service mobile traffic forecasting using a sequence-to-sequence (S2S) learning paradigm and convolutional long short-term memories (ConvL-STMs). The proposed architecture is designed so as to effectively extract complex spatiotemporal features of mobile network traffic and predict with high accuracy the future demands for individual services at city scale. We conduct experiments on a mobile traffic dataset collected in a large European metropolis, demonstrating that the proposed S2S-ConvLSTM can forecast the mobile traffic volume produced by tens of different services in advance of up to one hour, by just using measurements taken during the past hour. In particular, our solution achieves mean absolute errors (MAE) at antenna level that are below 13KBps, outperforming other deep learning approaches by up to 31.2%.
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