基于动态种群统计的舰载武器综合可靠性评估

Dongpao Hong, J. Yan, Jing Zhang, X. Liao
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引用次数: 0

摘要

为提高舰载武器可靠性评估的精度,研究了舰载武器的随机环境、功能、状态、演变等问题,提出了一种基于动态种群统计的舰载武器可靠性综合评估方法。根据武器系统的特点,引入动态种群统计理论,描述了武器系统在不同环境、不同目标和不同阶段之间的可靠性关系,建立了武器系统的可靠性模型。在此基础上,利用不同环境条件、不同研制阶段、不同结构和不同目标的试验数据,对舰载武器的可靠性进行了评估。综合利用各种试验数据,扩大了样本量,增加了可靠性评估的信息量。用该方法对某舰载武器的可靠性进行了评估。结果表明,该方法能够提高可靠性评估的精度。
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Synthetic reliability assessment for shipborne weapon based on dynamic population statistics
To improve the precision of reliability assessment on shipborne weapon, the stochastic on environment, function, status, evolvement of shipborne weapon were studied, and a synthetic reliability assessment method for shipborne weapon based on dynamic population statistics was proposed. According to the character of the weapon system, the theory of dynamic population statistics was introduced to describe the relation of reliability between varied environments, varied objects and varied phases, and the reliability model was established. Then, based on the model, the test data from various environment conditions, various development phases, various structures and various objects were used to assess the reliability of shipborne weapon. The various test data is used synthetically to enlarge the sample size and increase the information for reliability assessment with the method. The present method is used to assess the reliability of one shipborne weapon. The result shows that the method is able to improve the precision of reliability assessment.
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