展望领土的未来,以应对撒哈拉以南非洲的人口和就业挑战

J. Sourisseau, Nathalie Bougnoux, J. Bélières, R. Bourgeois, M. Soumaré, P. Rasolofo
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引用次数: 1

摘要

在撒哈拉以南非洲,人口挑战的规模意味着要在下一代的时间范围内,在所有活动部门中预测要达到的目标。我们提出了一种可由农村地区决策者和行为者实施的操作方法,以展望未来并制定其发展战略。这种地域预测方法结合了对过去当地动态的分析、20年人口预测和参与性预测过程。它使人们能够就可持续道路进行集体思考,并为监测和指导公共领土行动提供了框架。
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Envisioning the future of territories to tackle demographic and employment challenges in sub-Saharan Africa
In sub-Saharan Africa, the magnitude of the demographic challenge implies anticipating targets to be reached within the time horizon of the next generation, in all sectors of activity. We propose an operational methodology that can be implemented by policymakers and actors in rural territories to envision the future and to prepare their development strategy. This territorial foresight methodology combines an analysis of past local dynamics, a 20-year population projection and a participatory foresight process. It enables collective thinking on sustainable paths and provides a framework for monitoring and steering public territorial action.
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