买方分析师的表现优于卖方分析师吗?

Boris Groysberg, P. Healy, C. Chapman, Devin M. Shanthikumar, Yang Gui
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引用次数: 41

摘要

我们考察了买方分析师相对于卖方分析师的表现。我们的测试表明,一家大型投资公司的买方分析师给出的股票建议不如卖方分析师乐观,这与他们面临的利益冲突较少一致。然而,他们的盈利预测相对乐观和不准确,他们的买入建议回报低于卖方建议。比较卖方分析师建议和完全依赖买方研究的投资组合经理的表现的大样本测试证实了卖方的优势。这些业绩差异似乎可以部分解释为买方对表现不佳的分析师留存率较高,以及用于评估买方和卖方分析师的业绩基准存在差异。
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Do Buy-Side Analysts Out-Perform the Sell-Side?
We examine the performance of buy-side analysts relative to that of the sell-side. Our tests show that buy-side analysts at a large investment firm make less optimistic stock recommendations than sell-side analysts, consistent with their facing fewer conflicts of interest. However, their earnings forecasts are relatively optimistic and inaccurate and returns to their buy recommendations under-perform sell-side recommendations. Large sample tests that compare the performance of sell-side analyst recommendations and portfolio managers who rely exclusively on buy-side research confirm the sell-side's superiority. These performance differences appear to be partially explained by the buy-side's higher retention of poor-performing analysts and by differences in performance benchmarks used to evaluate buy- and sell-side analysts.
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The Extent and Duration of Analysts' Optimistic Expectations of Initial Public Offer Firms Do Buy-Side Analysts Out-Perform the Sell-Side? Analysts' Herding Propensity: Theory and Evidence from Earnings Forecasts
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