尼泊尔公共政策关注的潜在非传统安全威胁情景

B. Upreti
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引用次数: 0

摘要

这篇论文是关于绘制尼泊尔潜在的非常规安全威胁的不同场景作为一个主要的公共政策关注。然而,到目前为止,在这个问题上所做的工作还不多,因此需要更多的关注。本文的目的是在尼泊尔绘制不同的潜在非常规安全威胁。在分析非常规安全挑战时,我使用了四个概念参数的分析模板,如a)国内行动者的理解和承诺,b)国内应对能力,c)外部地缘战略利益和d)突然破坏和自然灾害。基于这些参数,我绘制了三种不同的非常规安全和随之而来的安全风险情景。收集一手资料和第二手资料的方法为观察法、内容分析法、深度访谈法和文献法。本文认为,非常规安全形势取决于国内应对能力、决策者的承诺、外部地缘战略、政治、经济等安全利益的程度和强度以及自然灾害的发生频率和程度。本文的结论是,尼泊尔面临着潜在的非常规安全挑战的高风险,国家团结对于应对未来潜在的非常规挑战至关重要。
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Scenarios of Potential Unconventional Security Threats as Public Policy Concern for Nepal
This paper is about drawing different scenarios of potential unconventional security threats in Nepal as a major public policy concern. However, not much work has been done so far in this issue so far and therefore need greater attention. The aim of this paper is to draws different potential unconventional security threats in Nepal. While analyzing the unconventional security challenges, I have used the analytical formwork of four conceptual parameters like a) Understanding and commitment of domestic actors, b) domestic coping capacity, c) external geo-strategic interests and d) Sudden devastations and natural calamities. Based on these parameters I have drawn three different scenarios of unconventional security and consequent security risks. The methods used to collect primary and secondary data were observation, content analysis, in-depth interviews and literature review. This paper concludes that unconventional security situation depends on domestic coping capacity, commitment of policy decision makers, degree and intensity of external geo-strategic, political, economic, and other security interests and frequency and degree of natural calamities. The paper concludes that Nepal is in potentially high risks of unconventional security challenges and national unity is essential to handle with the future potential unconventional challenges.
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