石油天然气运输方式综合评价与选择研究

Wei Liu
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引用次数: 1

摘要

为了保护环境和可持续发展,工业化国家优先发展石油和天然气工业。管道运输和水路运输是油气运输的主要选择方式,它们各有特点、优势、能力和相互替代。因此,通过水路运输与管道运输方式的综合评价来决策和解决油气高效运输问题,以实现能源运输的合理协调发展,避免恶性竞争和双重建设,是至关重要的。本文提出了“l -系数”公式将层次分析法与模糊综合理论相结合的综合评价方法,从社会效益和经济效益两方面综合考虑,以实际方法评价和选择水路运输或管道运输中的一种油气运输方式。通过案例分析,验证了油气运输方式综合评价适用于有效的决策,并通过输油管道与石油运输、天然气管道与液化石油气运输的分析比较,在考虑中国石油天然气运输的实际情况下,得出了一些建设性的结论和建议。
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A study on Synthetic Evaluation and Selection of Transport Mode for Oil and Natural Gas
With a view to environment protection and sustainable development, industrialized countries give priority to develop oil and natural gas industry. Pipeline and waterway transport are the main option modes to transport oil and gas, which have their each characteristics, strengths, competences, and inter-substitution. Therefore, to make decision and to solve the problem of efficiency transport for oil and natural gas by synthetic appraisal of transport mode between waterway transport and pipeline, which aims to realize energy transport in a rational way and harmonized development, and to avoid malignant competition and duple-construction, is critically essential. This paper put forward a synthetic evaluation method that "L-coefficient" formula integrates AHP (analysis of hierarchy process) with fuzzy synthesis theory to evaluate and select a mode of transport of oil and natural gas between waterway transport or pipeline by practical way and analysis quantitatively and qualitatively from overall consideration on the benefits of both social and financial aspects. The study verifies that the synthetic evaluation of transport mode for oil and gas is applicable to make effective decision through a case analysis and finally gets some constructive conclusions and suggestions on considering the facts of China in oil and natural gas transport, by analysis and comparison between oil pipeline and oil-shipping and by analysis and comparison between pipeline of gas and shipping of LPG.
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