德克萨斯州达拉斯县西尼罗病毒系统动力学调查

Mohammad F. Obeid, John B. Shull
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引用次数: 2

摘要

自1999年首次传入以来,西尼罗病毒(WNV)在美国东海岸广泛传播,然后出现在德克萨斯州,2012年报告了1792例病例,其中82例死亡。病毒的有趣模式和行为及其对达拉斯县的放大影响推动了这项工作。本文包含了一个系统动力学模拟模型的全面开发,该模型利用收集的历史数据和适当软件包的帮助,模拟了德克萨斯州达拉斯县病毒的感染行为和动态。
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West Nile Virus system dynamics investigation in Dallas County, TX
After its first introduction in 1999, West Nile Virus (WNV) has spread very widely along the east coasts of the United States before appearing in Texas where 1792 cases were reported of which 82 were fatal in 2012. The interesting patterns and behavior of the virus and its amplified impact on the county of Dallas drove this work. This paper encompasses a thorough development of a systems dynamics simulation model that imitates the virus's infectious behavior and dynamics in Dallas County, TX utilizing historical data collected and the aid of suitable software packages.
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